A.I Artificial Intelligence AI
POSTED BY: JAYNEZTOWN
UPDATED: Monday, September 7, 2026 07:08
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Five Worlds of AI
https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=7266
1) AI-Fizzle. In this scenario, AI “runs out of steam” fairly soon. AI still has a significant impact on the world (so it’s not the same as a “cryptocurrency fizzle”), but relative to current expectations, this would be considered a disappointment. Rather than the industrial or computer revolutions, AI might be compared in this case to nuclear power: people were initially thrilled about the seemingly limitless potential, but decades later, that potential remains mostly unrealized. With nuclear power, though, many would argue that the potential went unrealized mostly for sociopolitical rather than technical reasons. Could AI also fizzle by political fiat?
Regardless of the answer, another possibility is that costs (in data and computation) scale up so rapidly as a function of performance and reliability that AI is not cost-effective to apply in many domains. That is, it could be that for most jobs, humans will still be more reliable and energy-efficient (we don’t normally think of low wattage as being key to human specialness, but it might turn out that way!). So, like nuclear fusion, an AI which yields dramatically more value than the resources needed to build and deploy it might always remain a couple of decades in the future. In this scenario, AI would replace and enhance some fraction of human jobs and improve productivity, but the 21st century would not be the “century of AI,” and AI’s impact on society would be limited for both good and bad.
2) Futurama. In this scenario, AI unleashes a revolution that’s entirely comparable to the scientific, industrial, or information revolutions (but “merely” those). AI systems grow significantly in capabilities and perform many of the tasks currently performed by human experts at a small fraction of the cost, in some domains superhumanly. However, AI systems are still used as tools by humans, and except for a few fringe thinkers, no one treats them as sentient. AI easily passes the Turing test, can prove hard theorems, and can generate entertaining content (as well as deepfakes). But humanity gets used to that, just like we got used to computers creaming us in chess, translating text, and generating special effects in movies. Most people no more feel inferior to their AI than they feel inferior to their car because it runs faster. In this scenario, people will likely anthropomorphize AI less over time (as happened with digital computers themselves). In “Futurama,” AI will, like any revolutionary technology, be used for both good and bad. But as with prior major technological revolutions, on the whole, AI will have a large positive impact on humanity. AI will be used to reduce poverty and ensure that more of humanity has access to food, healthcare, education, and economic opportunities. In “Futurama,” AI systems will sometimes cause harm, but the vast majority of these failures will be due to human negligence or maliciousness. Some AI systems might be so complex that it would be best to model them as potentially behaving “adversarially,” and part of the practice of deploying AIs responsibly would be to ensure an “operating envelope” that limits their potential damage even under adversarial failures.
3) AI-Dystopia. The technical assumptions of “AI-Dystopia” are similar to those of “Futurama,” but the upshot could hardly be more different. Here, again, AI unleashes a revolution on the scale of the industrial or computer revolutions, but the change is markedly for the worse. AI greatly increases the scale of surveillance by government and private corporations. It causes massive job losses while enriching a tiny elite. It entrenches society’s existing inequalities and biases. And it takes away a central tool against oppression: namely, the ability of humans to refuse or subvert orders.
Interestingly, it’s even possible that the same future could be characterized as Futurama by some people and as AI-Dystopia by others – just like how some people e
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In case you're interested, Bob Carpenter has a short technical explanation of how modern Large Language Models (like GPT-4) work:
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/04/26/llm-alignment-bias-c
ultural-consensus-theory/
In a nutshell, language modeling is the simple task of predicting the next subword (“called a token”) based on the previous sequence of subwords. The state-of-the-art had stalled for years on n-gram models that use the previous n subwords (usually with n < 5). In 2017, a team of Google researchers released a paper titled "Attention is all you need," which introduced the current state-of-the-art neural network architecture for language modeling. The breakthrough was in extending the context length into the thousands (GPT 3.5 uses 4K, GPT 4 has 8K and 32K models) with an attention model that figured out which parts of the context to concentrate on. The fundamental bottleneck is that computation is quadratic in context length (though it's all on GPU, so that's a massive numbers of flops for relatively low power).
The 2017 paper introduced the so-called “transformer” architecture, which combines multiple attention “heads” in parallel. The original application was to translation, but it’s the self attention component that was extracted for use in LLMs. The “T” in “GPT” is for “transformers” (the “GP” is for “generative pretrained”). What researchers have found is that the heads learn different aspects of prediction, such as different syntactic structures, much like any mixture model.
There’s a beautiful two-hour YouTube tutorial by Andrej Karpathy https://www.google.com/search?q=andrej+karpathy+youtube that builds up the entire transformer architecture piece by piece in a Colab notebook you can also use. Karpathy applies it to building a Shakespearean chatbot. It assumes you know Python, but is otherwise quite gentle, starting with an intro to n-gram language models and softmax.
More at https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2023/04/26/llm-alignment-bias-c
ultural-consensus-theory/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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A.I. Is Getting Better at Mind-Reading
The study centered on three participants, who came to Dr. Huth’s lab for 16 hours over several days to listen to “The Moth” and other narrative podcasts. As they listened, an fMRI scanner recorded the blood oxygenation levels in parts of their brains. The researchers then used a large language model to match patterns in the brain activity to the words and phrases that the participants had heard.
Large language models like OpenAI’s GPT-4 and Google’s Bard are trained on vast amounts of writing to predict the next word in a sentence or phrase. In the process, the models create maps indicating how words relate to one another. A few years ago, Dr. Huth noticed that particular pieces of these maps — so-called context embeddings, which capture the semantic features, or meanings, of phrases — could be used to predict how the brain lights up in response to language. In a basic sense, said Shinji Nishimoto, a neuroscientist at Osaka University who was not involved in the research, “brain activity is a kind of encrypted signal, and language models provide ways to decipher it.”
In their study, Dr. Huth and his colleagues effectively reversed the process, using another A.I. to translate the participant’s fMRI images into words and phrases. The researchers tested the decoder by having the participants listen to new recordings, then seeing how closely the translation matched the actual transcript.
The meaning of the passage was regularly preserved. Essentially, the decoders were paraphrasing.
Original transcript: “I got up from the air mattress and pressed my face against the glass of the bedroom window expecting to see eyes staring back at me but instead only finding darkness.”
Decoded from brain activity: “I just continued to walk up to the window and open the glass I stood on my toes and peered out I didn’t see anything and looked up again I saw nothing.”
While under the fMRI scan, the participants were also asked to silently imagine telling a story; afterward, they repeated the story aloud, for reference. Here, too, the decoding model captured the gist of the unspoken version.
Participant’s version: “Look for a message from my wife saying that she had changed her mind and that she was coming back.”
Decoded version: “To see her for some reason I thought she would come to me and say she misses me.”
Finally the subjects watched a brief, silent animated movie, again while undergoing an fMRI scan. By analyzing their brain activity, the language model could decode a rough synopsis of what they were viewing — maybe their internal description of what they were viewing.
The result suggests that the A.I. decoder was capturing not just words but also meaning. “Language perception is an externally driven process, while imagination is an active internal process,” Dr. Nishimoto said. “And the authors showed that the brain uses common representations across these processes.”
More at NYTimes https://tinyurl.com/9hj4tjt9
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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AI does Deep Fake Artifical Voice, soon Voice Actors will have lost the jobs.
Fantasy gaming, Dungeons and Dragons and video game. After a while people won't know if they have a real player on the otehr side or some chatbot robot 'rolepaying'
Video Gamers Someone Gaming Added GPT4 to Skyrim! the Future of RPG?
Midjourney 5.1 Arrives - And It’s Another Leap Forward For AI Art
https://www.forbes.com/sites/barrycollins/2023/05/03/midjourney-51-arr
ivesand-its-another-leap-forward-for-ai-art/
Can AI-generated 'photos' be considered real art?
https://faroutmagazine.co.uk/can-ai-generated-photos-be-considered-rea
l-art/
AI music app Boomy has created 14.4m tracks to date. Spotify just blocked it from uploading new songs to its platform.
https://www.musicbusinessworldwide.com/ai-music-app-boomy-has-created-
14-4m-tracks-to-date-now-spotify-is-blocking-it-from-uploading-new-songs-to-its-platform/
‘Your days are numbered’: What songwriting could sound like in an AI future
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/music/features/ai-cha
t-gpt-songwriting-music-b2319062.html
7 of the Weirdest AI-Generated Commercials...So Far
https://gizmodo.com/ai-dall-e-ai-generated-advertisements-chatbots-185
0399007
A fictitious pizza chain, Heinz Ketchup, and the Republican party have all been experimenting
Some more AI news headlines
New A.I. Can Translate Private Thoughts From Brain Scans, Reveals Study
https://worldjournalpost.com/new-a-i-can-translate-private-thoughts-fr
om-brain-scans-reveals-study/
The Artificial Intelligence Revolution in an Unprepared World: China, the International Stage, and the Future of AI
https://hir.harvard.edu/artificial-intelligence-china-and-the-internat
ional-stage/
‘Remarkable’ AI tool designs mRNA vaccines that are more potent and stable
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01487-y
America v China, how the tech giants are going all in on artificial intelligence and the ways rice is harming people and the planet
https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2023/04/03/america-v-china-how-the-
tech-giants-are-going-all-in-on-artificial-intelligence-and-the-ways-rice-is-harming-people-and-the-planet
Google, Microsoft CEOs called to AI meeting at White House
https://www.reuters.com/technology/google-microsoft-openai-ceos-attend
-white-house-ai-meeting-official-2023-05-02/?utm_source=reddit.com
AI ‘could be as transformative as Industrial Revolution’ | Artificial intelligence (AI)
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2023/may/03/ai-could-be-as-tran
sformative-as-industrial-revolution-patrick-vallance
Google DeepMind CEO Says Some Form of AGI Possible in a Few Years
https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-deepmind-ceo-says-some-form-of-agi
-possible-in-a-few-years-2705f452
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Harris to meet with CEOs about artificial intelligence risks
https://apnews.com/article/ai-artificial-intelligence-white-house-harr
is-578d623e473b0eeb3fa3e4728d7e9868
The Video Game Mod?
Video game modding aka "software modification" a process of alteration by players or fans or other programmers hacking altering aspects of a video game, such as how it looks, the sound board or behaves. Mods may range from small fan changes and tweaks to complete overhauls making it look and sound like a totally different game.
https://kotaku.com/mods-saved-a-game-so-theyre-now-an-official-product
-1823409264
People can become fans of specific mods, in addition to fans of the game they are for, such as requesting features and alterations for these mods, a mod can even save a game that is no longer popular and make it popular again.
https://poa.st/@Shadowman311/posts/AVKPoVjqdykNEmRwjA
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Google Computer Scientist Quits So He Can Warn World Of ‘Scary’ And ‘Dangerous’ AI
https://summit.news/2023/05/04/google-computer-scientist-quits-so-he-c
an-warn-world-of-scary-and-dangerous-ai/
Warns that “bad actors” will attempt to use AI for “bad things”
Could AI make a funnier better film than Wes Anderson?
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AI bots are making strange fake political ads
https://twitter.com/jeffcharlesjr/status/1657395659668848640
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Artificial intelligence makes a mark in the handwritten card space
https://www.foxbusiness.com/small-business/artificial-intelligence-mak
es-mark-handwritten-card-space
Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Nah. Light years away from consciousness.
and Buzz Feed?
So its possible u tube might delete vids like these in the future, a mockery of culture NPC Metaverse journalism during Frog postings and the meme wars.
Blame gamer gate? a “nonplayable character” or “nonplayer character.” from the world of video games NPC is a new take on the mindless fascist or the Marxist useful idiot, a new insult, the person saying it means that you are like internet a robot spam post, you're devoid of personality, originality and individuality.
Even if u tube does delete postings reflecting culture of meme wars will be found on bitchute or rumble
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Karl Sharro @KarlreMarks
Humans doing the hard jobs on minimum wage while the robots write poetry and paint is not the future I wanted
May 15, 2023
https://twitter.com/KarlreMarks/status/1658028017921261569
Karl Sharro @KarlreMarks
This tweet was written by AI
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Oh, don't worry. The minimum wage hard jobs that haven't already been replaced are going to be automated soon too.
It's just easier to replace Hollywood writers in 2023 than it is to replace retail stockers. It's even easier to replace Leftist "journalists" and game "reviewers" too.
Learn to code, bitches.
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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.
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