Maybe Disney could learn a lesson here...
POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Monday, May 22, 2023 08:54
VIEWED: 4201
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This is very obviously a Billion dollar movie at this point.
$876,438,061 worldwide in just 3 weeks off of only a $100 Million budget, and it's expected to make at least another $90 Million in the US, which would put it at 15th place for all time Domestic and very close to the 14th place I predicted it could reach.
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Originally posted by second:
Stop making the rich richer. Instead, download the movie for free:
The one piece of software you will need is here:
Where was your movie-related Communism in the Avatar 2 thread?
I didn't see you posting pirated links to Lightyear or Strange World when they were brought up either.
Don't be salty bro.
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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
With 5 more wide releases this weekend, SMB is still going to be on top by a lot. Bruce's model predicts $68 Million this weekend (although he thinks that might be a little high).
Yeah. Looks like the projected take this weekend was $58.2 Million. They usually like to err on the side of caution, especially when the movie is new and/or still raking in a lot of cash, so I wouldn't be surprised to see something like $60 Million actual.
$59,930,940 Actual.
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Where the projected numbers are now, it puts it in 28th place all time Domestic right behind E.T. and above Toy Story 4.
Yep. 28th Place. Should move up to 27th after today.
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It should be 25th place, right behind Black Panther: Wakanda Forever before next weekend, and I'd suspect 20th place, right behind Finding Dory and overtaking Frozen II by the end of next weekend.
We'll see, but I bet I'm right.
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$885,826,854 worldwide and $444,058,475 domestic after 21 days.
Just bumped off E.T. and Shrek 2 yesterday for 26th place Domestic. It will be in 20th place after the weekend is over.
Does it have another $100 Million in it to get 14th place like I predicted it will?
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$906,858,807 Worldwide right now.
I just heard last night that it hasn't even opened in Japan or South Korea until this weekend, so that will bump it up even further when it does.
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With only $1.1 Million needed last night, Mario will easily slip right into 25th place for all time Domestic when Thursday's numbers come in, just like I said it would back on the 23rd.
Will it make 20th place after Sunday like I predicted on the 23rd too?
Easily. It's only got to make $28 Million, which would be a -53% drop from last weekend, and it should come out way ahead of that.
In fact, it could possibly (though not super likely) take 19th place this weekend. It's got to make about $37 Million to do it. It will be close with the -37% and -35% drops the movie saw over the last two weekends. $37 Million this weekend would be just over a -38% drop, but there are no new movies coming out this weekend that should take any revenue away from SMB.
If it doesn't reach 19th it will be so close that it's incidental, but if we're going to get up to 14th place by the end of the run like I predicted earlier, it would be helpful. It would only need to make about another $56 Million domestic at that point to do it.
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$450 Million Domestic going into the weekend and 25th place, just like I said it would be on the 23rd.
It will be above Frozen II after Sunday night, and possibly even above Finding Dory if it has a particularly good weekend.
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SMB moves up to 24th place above Wakanda Forever with the $8.9 Million projected for Friday Night and nearly $459 Million Domestic so far.
Bruce's Model predicts a $46 Million take for SMB this weekend which would only be a 26% drop from last weekend. I think that's probably far too ambitious with only $9 Million on Friday night (Which is a 37% drop).
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Will it make 20th place after Sunday like I predicted on the 23rd too?
Easily. It's only got to make $28 Million, which would be a -53% drop from last weekend, and it should come out way ahead of that.
In fact, it could possibly (though not super likely) take 19th place this weekend. It's got to make about $37 Million to do it. It will be close with the -37% and -35% drops the movie saw over the last two weekends. $37 Million this weekend would be just over a -38% drop, but there are no new movies coming out this weekend that should take any revenue away from SMB.
If it doesn't reach 19th it will be so close that it's incidental, but if we're going to get up to 14th place by the end of the run like I predicted earlier, it would be helpful. It would only need to make about another $56 Million domestic at that point to do it.
Zero issue making 20th place like I predicted right now. I still think it's a coin flip that it will hit 19th place unless it has a phenomenal Sunday showing and skews more towards Bruce's prediction than mine.
It's sitting at $921,896,157 worldwide right now and will have zero issue hitting $1 Billion before next weekend even starts. That's 10 times the production budget and at least 75% profit when it happens.
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Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
SMB moves up to 24th place above Wakanda Forever with the $8.9 Million projected for Friday Night and nearly $459 Million Domestic so far.
Bruce's Model predicts a $46 Million take for SMB this weekend which would only be a 26% drop from last weekend. I think that's probably far too ambitious with only $9 Million on Friday night (Which is a 37% drop).
Studio Projection: $40 Million for the weekend (a 33% drop in total). Like last weekend, they were probably conservative in their estimate, so it should be slightly higher than that, but not likely crossing $41 Million.
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Will it make 20th place after Sunday like I predicted on the 23rd too?
Easily. It's only got to make $28 Million, which would be a -53% drop from last weekend, and it should come out way ahead of that.
In fact, it could possibly (though not super likely) take 19th place this weekend. It's got to make about $37 Million to do it. It will be close with the -37% and -35% drops the movie saw over the last two weekends. $37 Million this weekend would be just over a -38% drop, but there are no new movies coming out this weekend that should take any revenue away from SMB.
Zero issue making 20th place like I predicted right now. I still think it's a coin flip that it will hit 19th place unless it has a phenomenal Sunday showing and skews more towards Bruce's prediction than mine.
It made nearly $4 Million more than it needed to this weekend to take 19th place. By next weekend it will take over yet another Disney animated property when it eclipses Beauty and the Beast.
I'll have to look more into the numbers later in the week, but my very early prediction for where it will sit on the All Time Domestic list by the end of next weekend is 17th place, beating out Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker and poised to take over Star Wars: Rogue One (and The Dark Knight) shortly after that.
As of Sunday night it is now a Billion Dollar movie with $1,022,446,698 worldwide in only 26 days.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
SMB moves up to 24th place above Wakanda Forever with the $8.9 Million projected for Friday Night and nearly $459 Million Domestic so far.
Bruce's Model predicts a $46 Million take for SMB this weekend which would only be a 26% drop from last weekend. I think that's probably far too ambitious with only $9 Million on Friday night (Which is a 37% drop).
Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Studio Projection: $40 Million for the weekend (a 33% drop in total). Like last weekend, they were probably conservative in their estimate, so it should be slightly higher than that, but not likely crossing $41 Million.
Official Number: $40,835,805 (32% drop, and $164,195 shy of $41 Million).
Hey Bruce! You hiring?
I'm getting pretty good at this.
SMB's Current Worldwide Gross: $1,023,067,382
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