Cinema

Four More Avatar Movies announced on April 14, 2016

POSTED BY: second
UPDATED: Friday, May 26, 2023 20:24
VIEWED: 16603
PAGE 8 of 16

Friday, February 17, 2023 8:49 AM

A2 drops to 2,675 theaters this weekend from 3,075 last weekend, which is more in line with what it should have dropped to last weekend.

At this point, I think it's still far too high, especially with another Marvel piece of crap being dropped tomorrow night that the idiot masses should eat up. They seem to be expecting that to happen too since it's going to be released in a whopping 4,345 locations, which ranks it 40th on the list of widest releases in US history.

Given that the drop for A2 was steeper than I thought they would actually drop it this weekend, my prediction that Maverick would overtake it on day 74 may have been premature. It may happen the preceding weekend at some point rather than on the following Monday.

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Saturday, February 18, 2023 6:55 AM

Day 63: $525,564

A2 takes 4th place for two days in a row.

Blood and Honey must really suck. It lost 90% from Wednesday to Thursday. Good. Who wants to see murderous Winnie-The-Pooh anyhow? People are sick in the head in 2023.

Get some help.





A2's lead over Maverick on day 35: $39,800,986

A2's lead over Maverick on day 63: $9,054,291


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Saturday, February 18, 2023 8:55 AM

Bruce doesn't even bother mentioning A2 in his article for the weekend for the first time.

His prediction for Weekend 10 is $6,190,000.

Nope. It's not going to make a dime more than $5,500,000.



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Sunday, February 19, 2023 6:08 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Bruce doesn't even bother mentioning A2 in his article for the weekend for the first time.

His prediction for Weekend 10 is $6,190,000.

Nope. It's not going to make a dime more than $5,500,000.



I made an error in my prediction here. I forgot that last Sunday was Super Bowl Sunday and it artificially lowered last weekend's take. A2 has made more money on Sunday in all but 3 of the weekend's it has been released, usually by quite a bit. So with the $1.3 Million projected for Friday, it likely will make what Bruce said or possibly 100 or 200k above his prediction if Friday's projection isn't high.

Even with that number, it's poised to lose $2,000,000 more on its lead against Maverick after the weekend numbers are solidified on Monday.

As it stands right now with Friday's prediction, A2's lead seems to have dwindled to just about $8,000,004 over Maverick on day 64 and the flatline of the curve has officially begun. I'll wait until the weekend numbers are official to update the graph.




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Sunday, February 19, 2023 10:14 PM

Projections for the weekend are already in. A2 Projected to make $6,118,000 right now.

If that projection wasn't low, then A2's lead over Maverick after Weekend 10 (Day 66) is down to $6,764,701.

Maverick still has a week and a half of making more than $1 Million per day until Day 76.

A2 has only had one week day above $1 Million for the last two weeks, which was Valentine's day and barely pulled in half a Million on Thursday.

It will maintain it's lead over Maverick through the week, but sometime this weekend Maverick will pull ahead. My guess is Saturday.

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Thursday, February 23, 2023 9:36 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Bruce doesn't even bother mentioning A2 in his article for the weekend for the first time.

His prediction for Weekend 10 is $6,190,000.

Nope. It's not going to make a dime more than $5,500,000.



I made an error in my prediction here. I forgot that last Sunday was Super Bowl Sunday and it artificially lowered last weekend's take. A2 has made more money on Sunday in all but 3 of the weekend's it has been released, usually by quite a bit. So with the $1.3 Million projected for Friday, it likely will make what Bruce said or possibly 100 or 200k above his prediction if Friday's projection isn't high.



It actually made $360k more than Bruce Predicted over the weekend.

It had a surprisingly low Cheap Ticket Tuesday at only $662,015 after a President's Day showing of $1,511,832. (There must be a lot of Government Employees who wanted to see it again?).

I could be wrong, but this could be really bad for A2's numbers this week, since aside from holidays Tuesdays always outpace Monday, Wednesday and Thursday by quite a bit. We'll know once Wednesday's numbers come in later today, but I think A2's run in the theater might be just about done in the States.


A2 Day 68 Total: $659,682,302

Maverick Day 68 Total: $653,045,905

A2's lead at $6,636,397



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Friday, February 24, 2023 2:30 AM

Quote:

It had a surprisingly low Cheap Ticket Tuesday at only $662,015 after a President's Day showing of $1,511,832. (There must be a lot of Government Employees who wanted to see it again?).

I could be wrong, but this could be really bad for A2's numbers this week, since aside from holidays Tuesdays always outpace Monday, Wednesday and Thursday by quite a bit. We'll know once Wednesday's numbers come in later today, but I think A2's run in the theater might be just about done in the States.



Wednesday: $498,656

Yeah. That's not good.

Maverick's first Sub $500k day wasn't until Monday (Day 92), and we're only on day 69 right now.

This gets A2 over the $660 Million that Bruce last predicted A2 would make for its entire run a while back, but there won't be any longevity to A2's Domestic run like Maverick's 203 days.

A2's lead over Maverick on Day 69 now down to $5,913,488.



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Friday, February 24, 2023 7:24 PM

A2 gets cut down to 2,495 theaters this weekend. It's still too many.

Last Thursday it only averaged $171 per theater with 3,065 theaters, and after being cut down to 2,675 theaters last weekend it only averaged $186 Wednesday (Day 69) and will be lucky if it doesn't dip below $150 for Thursday.

Maverick didn't see a day under $200 until Monday (Day 95).



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Tuesday, February 28, 2023 4:24 AM

A2's lead after the weekend (Day 73) now down to only $3,026,429.

Maverick was still pulling in an average over $1M per day this following week, where A2 was pulling in an average of virtually half that last week if you factor out the President's Day showing last Monday.

My bet is that Maverick will close the gap to around $250-$550k after Thursday night, and on Friday Maverick will take over the lead for the Domestic Box Office and it will all be over.

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
My bet is that Maverick will close the gap to around $250-$550k after Thursday night, and on Friday Maverick will take over the lead for the Domestic Box Office and it will all be over.



Yup. Tonight is the night.

A2's lead after Thursday (Day 77): $382,711.




Maverick made $1,976,161 on Day 78.

A2 won't make $1 Million.

Bruce thinks that Puss n Boots might overtake Avatar this weekend after 11 weeks of trying. Theaters are going to regret only closing 195 and keeping 2,300 showing A2 this week for sure. Should see big drops in theater counts starting next week.

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