Real World Event Discussions

Tv is dying, Western comicbooks die, Gaming dies, Cinema is dying...what will be the next flop?

POSTED BY: JAYNEZTOWN
UPDATED: Sunday, August 23, 2026 16:02
VIEWED: 10432
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Wednesday, December 7, 2022 9:00 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
What will be the next Box Office Flop?

‘Strange World’ is Disney’s Biggest Bomb in Years

https://bleedingfool.com/news/why-disneys-strange-world-is-their-bigge
st-bomb-in-years
/








It's already in theaters. It's called Wakanda Forever.

Black Panther made $40 Million Domestic for its 4th weekend in 2018.

Wakanda Forever didn't crack $17 Million for its 4th weekend. It took Black Panther 6 weeks to see those numbers.


Sure. It made money, but even the Blackedy-Blackest Black movie ever made is going to be a huge disappointment for Disney. It won't even make $10 Million on weekend 5. I'm going to predict something in the realm of $6.5 to $8 Million.

Everybody knows that Marvel's Phase 4 sucked. The only good superhero anything that was in theaters or on streaming this year was Spiderman: No Way Home, and that came out last year and wasn't a Disney production.

The only reason Wakanda did this well is because the novelty of it all hasn't worn off yet. If Disney doesn't want to see the Comic Book Movie genre go the way of the Western in Phase 5, they better knock the woke shit off.




Now... if you want to talk a SERIOUS flop?

Avatar 2.

It's said that it will have to make $2 Billion Worldwide to BREAK EVEN.

There's not a chance in hell that's happening.

James Cameron's career is on the line with this one. He might be unemployable by 2023.

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.


I think Avatar just may indeed bomb based on the previews I've seen. It looks like a really dumb movie, and after all these years, who really gives a crap about the blue monkeys.

And then there's the Jim Parsons homo movie, perfect for your Holiday fun!

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Wednesday, December 7, 2022 9:12 AM

I never even saw the first one. All I hear about it now is that it was a sub-par movie as far as the story went, but at the time it came out the spectacle of it all with the 3D at an IMAX screen was revolutionary. Remember back then when they said that 3D was going to be the big thing in theaters? I don't really even hear about that anymore.

There's no way the sequel isn't going to be thinly veiled woke trash in 2022, and it's coming out about a decade too late.

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Monday, December 19, 2022 12:00 AM

December 16th, 2022: Weekend predictions: Avatar eyeing $170-million opening

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/253230830-Weekend-predictions-Avatar-
eyeing-170-million-opening


Quote:

As usual, our final prediction is a weighted average of our predictions. In this case, I think it makes most sense to average the prediction based on the international numbers with the prediction based on the previews, which gives us a final number of $172 million.

Note the huge range of uncertainty though. I’d be surprised if the film ended with weekend with less than $130 million, and astonished if it did more than $200 million, but both figures are within the bounds of possibility. Even once we know where it has landed over the weekend, its ultimate financial fate will be determined by how it does next weekend and the weekend after (and the weekend after that, most likely), not just here in North America but around the world.



December 18th, 2022: Way of Water officially projected to earn $134 million this weekend

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/253250830-Weekend-projections-Way-of-
Water-officially-projected-to-earn-134-million-this-weekend


Quote:

Disney are projecting a $134-million opening weekend for Avatar: The Way of Water this morning, the best opening weekend for James Cameron in his career*, and the sixth-best debut of 2022. Final numbers could move it fractionally ahead of The Batman and into fifth for the year, but it’s a slightly disappointing result, given that most predictions had it earning around $150 million this weekend. On the bright side, international numbers are looking a bit better, with $301 million so far, and its legs are looking promising.


* No. This is not the best opening weekend for James Cameron in his career. Not when the flicks are adjusted for inflation, and certainly not when tickets to see this movie cost more than the other movies in the theater. Let's be real here.

OPPS!


And I hate to break it to you, Disney, but next weekend is going to be pretty damned icy and cold in half the country. Not to mention Saturday is Christmas Eve and Sunday is Christmas.

You're not going to make $2 Billion and break even on this until the 3rd time you re-release it in theaters 12 years from now.

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Tuesday, December 20, 2022 10:18 PM

I was wrong... Or it was a tie. However you want to look at it since Avatar 2 and this woke trash movie starring AOC and 3 other privileged "BIPOC" women couldn't even get more than 1,500 people to go to the theater in the name of Climate Change were both released this weekend.

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=65439

There were almost more people on the movie poster than people who actually paid to sit through this thing.



It was a "selection" at both Sundance and Tribeca in 2022 though, just proving how out of touch the rich idiots are with the rest of the country. Roger Ebert enjoyed masturbating to it too.


I'd love to see a breakdown of who actually watched it. With only less than 1,500 people in attendance, it is possible that the only people who watched it were Leftoid media "journalists" and personalities, woke critics that give things like this a fresh rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and AOC's family.

Though I'd bet that sprinkled in the mix was a few pink pussy hat wearing thumbs and their soy-cucked sexless fem-boy frend-zoned sycophants hoping that tonight will be the night!

C'mon Thumb! Give him some play. He's such a "nice guy"!

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Wednesday, December 21, 2022 12:21 AM

The access critics on Rotten Tomato's gave AOC's flick good reviews...funny

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Wednesday, December 21, 2022 7:09 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by whozit:
The access critics on Rotten Tomato's gave AOC's flick good reviews...funny



I didn't even look, but I didn't have to. Of course they did!

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Wednesday, December 21, 2022 7:23 AM

Avatar 2's first Monday already made over 17.5 Million less than Top Gun: Maverick's first Monday did domestically, and already drops to middling-to-low legs on it's first post-opening weekend day... a feat which Top Gun: Maverick never achieved in its entire box office run.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-The-Way-of-Water-(2022)#tab=b
ox-office

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Top-Gun-Maverick-(2020)#tab=box-offi
ce





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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Saturday, December 24, 2022 10:15 PM

First week's results are in...

Avatar 2 makes $197,549,646 Domestically in its first week.

Top Gun: Maverick made $205,604,011 in the same time.


This isn't all there is to the story though...

While Disney/20th Century Fox are terrified of letting anybody know what the production and marketing budget of Avatar 2 was, Top Gun's Production budget was $170 Million (so double that number for the true cost of $340 Million with the marketing budget as the general rule of thumb). James Cameron has said that if the movie doesn't make 2 Billion than it will lose money.

If this is true, it cost Disney/Fox $1.66 Billion more to make and market Avatar 2 than it did Top Gun: Maverick.

Avatar 2's saving grace is that China decided to allow it in theaters and it's banked an additional $77 Million so far that Top Gun didn't have access to.


Avatar 2 is predicted now to make $61.5 Million Domestically this weekend, but with the caveat it might only make $55 Million due to the terrible weather still gripping a large portion of the US through the weekend.

Top Gun: Maverick made just over $90 Million Domestically during its second weekend.



Avatar 2 is predicted now to make around the area of $533 Million Domestically before it leaves the box office.

Top Gun: Maverick made over $718 Million before it left the box office.




We will probably end up seeing an Avatar 3 at some point because it just came to my attention that James Cameron has claimed that it's already been filmed. I don't know if that is actually true or not. And if it IS true, who knows if all of the seriously expensive CGI has even begun on part three 3? (After all... Edie Falco was just reported as saying that she filmed her scenes 4 years ago and thought the sequel had already come out and was a flop when one of her friends had told her that it was just released in the theaters.)

But if these predictions hold true and James isn't lying about needing 2 Billion to break even, we almost certainly won't see an Avatar 4 for quite a while, and might not ever see another James Cameron flick released in our lifetime.

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Saturday, December 24, 2022 10:18 PM

Are we rooting for failure? 2022 in review.



Yes. Yes we are.


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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Sunday, December 25, 2022 9:52 PM

Ouch.... That's got to hurt.

Avatar only banks $1.5 Million on Christmas Eve. That's a 97% drop from last Saturday. That just may be a world record.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-The-Way-of-Water-(2022)#tab=b
ox-office


They're not even going to come close to that predicted $61.5 Million for the second weekend now.


EDIT: Strange. Avatar's page shows only $1.5 Million, but the daily for yesterday says $15 Million. This is likely a glitch, although I can't figure out how it would happen. I can't imagine the dude running the-numbers has to enter in the daily take of a movie in two separate places and he made a typo. That would be a really stupid database for him to be working off of with all the data that he sifts through on a daily basis.

I'm going to say it made $15 Million on Christmas Eve and the $1.5 Million is a goof.

That's still down 66% from last Saturday, and the new weekend prediction with current Christmas Day projections is $56 Million, which is 58% down from last weekend.

Top Gun: Maverick's 2nd weekend drop was only 29%.


James Cameron might be working at WalMart by this time next year.




EDIT 2: Yeah. It was a glitch and looks to be fixed. Avatar's page now shows a $15M projection for Christmas Eve. Wish I still had that tab open so I could screenshot it and/or archive it, but it's gone forever.

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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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