Elections 2020, Hey Jack, I Was Right. Trump And The Republicans Lost Big Time
POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 02:11
VIEWED: 133576
PAGE 185 of 187
Quote:There is a postmortem by Trump's pollsters:
Originally posted by THG:
This thread has served its purpose. The election is over and the Democrats won it all. They now control the White House, the House and The Senate. Time to move on from this thread. Thanks to all the sane posters for your contributions.
T
Two reports by his own pollsters show how Trump could have won but didn’t. In 2024, Senator Ted Cruz will learn from these mistakes and will win. If Trump is the nominee, even he might learn, but that is less likely.
Donald Trump might be in denial about who won the 2020 election, but his pollsters aren’t. Two of them have performed autopsies on his defeat, and those autopsies are now public. One of his pollsters, John McLaughlin, published an analysis in Newsmax in November. Another report, written by consultant Tony Fabrizio, was posted on Monday by Politico. Neither pollster blames the former president, but their numbers tell the story: Trump destroyed himself.
The autopsies identified two reasons why Trump should have won. First, based on self-identification, the 2020 electorate was significantly more Republican than the 2016 electorate. Second, public satisfaction with the economy favored the incumbent. Both pollsters found that people who voted in 2020 thought Trump would handle the economy better than Joe Biden would. McLaughlin’s analysis, based on his post-election survey of people who voted in 2020, noted that 61 percent of these voters said they were better off than they had been four years earlier. Despite this, Trump managed to lose one-third of the 61 percent. “Fully 20% of all voters thought they were better off today than four years ago and did not vote for President Trump,” McLaughlin wrote.
Fabrizio analyzed exit polls from 10 battleground states Trump had won in 2016. Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas stayed with Trump in 2020; Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin flipped to Biden. Collectively, in the 10 states, Fabrizio computed a “massive swing” against Trump among independents (by 17 to 19 percentage points) and a similar shift among college-educated white voters (by 14 to 18 points). Likewise, in his national sample, McLaughlin found that Biden won moderates, 62 percent to 36 percent.
Trump repelled these voters, even those who were happy with the economy. In McLaughlin’s national sample, Biden was viewed more favorably than Trump. Among voters who disliked both candidates, the pollster noted, “dislike of Trump was more dominant.” Three-quarters of Biden voters cited character or personality traits as reasons for their voting decisions, and the reasons they gave were “mostly anti-Trump,” McLaughlin wrote. Seven percent of respondents said they had voted mostly “against Biden,” but 19 percent said they had voted mostly “against Trump.”
Fabrizio found similar results. In the battleground states, voters said by a four-point margin that Biden wasn’t “honest and trustworthy.” Trump’s deficit on the same question was much bigger: 14 to 18 points. The exit polls also indicated that Trump inspired millions of new voters to turn out, either in person or by mail, to get rid of him. Fabrizio noted that collectively, in the five states that flipped to Biden, Trump outpolled Biden among people who had voted in 2016. What killed Trump were the new voters. Biden won them by 14 points in the five decisive states.
Trump also misjudged the politics of COVID-19. Throughout the campaign, he focused on rapidly reopening the economy, often at the risk of rekindling the pandemic. That turned out to be disastrous for the country, but also for his candidacy. Fabrizio found that in the 10 battleground states, “majorities of voters … prioritized stopping the spread of [the virus] over re-opening the economy.” The virus “was the top issue” in these stat
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Nah. Trump won.
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A government is a body of people usually, notably, governed by Mark Zuckerborg and Slack Dorsey. 
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Quote:Wait until next time. The Trump/Cruz duo will have a firm 50/50 chance in 2024, same as Trump/Pence had a 50/50 chance in 2016 and 2020. Winning is always a coin flip. Most Democrats don't understand that. Even fewer Republicans. But the worst at understanding are the Independents.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Nah. Trump won.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:No. There's this thing called math. 81 million is more than 74 million. Too bad you did so poorly in school.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Nah. Trump won.
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Nah. Trump won.
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A government is a body of people usually, notably, governed by Mark Zuckerborg and Slack Dorsey.
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Quote:This is why we know you're stupid. Stupid people deny facts and believe lies.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Nah. Trump won.
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Nah...
Trump won.
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A government is a body of people usually, notably, governed by Mark Zuckerborg and Slack Dorsey.
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'Stop the Steal' Lawyer, Lin Wood, Suspected of VOTER FRAUD!!!
It's always projection with these Nazis.
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"Suspected" by TDS sufferers with nothing better to do on a Covid-Lockdown-middle-of-winter Wednesday.
Get a hobby, retards.
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A government is a body of people usually, notably, governed by Mark Zuckerborg and Slack Dorsey.
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Trump's best friend just got canceled because of Election 2020:
Fox News Media has canceled “Lou Dobbs Tonight,” the program hosted by television’s staunchest supporter of Donald Trump and of his assertions of voter fraud in the 2020 election, The Times has learned.
....The cancellation comes a day after voting software company Smartmatic filed a $2.7-billion defamation suit against Fox News and three of its hosts — Dobbs, Maria Bartiromo and Jeanine Pirro. The company claims the hosts perpetuated lies and disinformation about Smartmatic’s role in the election, damaging its business and reputation.
No word on what's going to happen to Bartiromo and Pirro.
https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2021-02-05/f
ox-news-cancels-lou-dobbs-tonight
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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