The predictions thread

REAVERFAN

Friday, November 6, 2020 8:28 PM

Quote:

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Originally posted by 1KIKI:

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63062&p=10

Quote:

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Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Unless Barr comes up with an indictment before Inauguration, his investigation into FBI malfeasance ... of which there is plentiful and incontrovertible evidence ... will go the way of the dodo.

Same with the investigation into the Biden family worldwide shakedown operation.

The only action that would move forward might be from the Senate, but most of the GOP Senators are too establishment/part of the swamp, and would never try to tear this open.

Sigh.

Back to "corrupt/deep state politics as usual".

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Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Putting this in the 'predictions' thread since nobody else has thought even that far.

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1KIKI

Saturday, November 7, 2020 3:08 AM

exit poll results https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2020/exit-polls/p
residential-election-exit-polls/
vote results https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_Michigan,_2020

MAINE
Trump exit poll (male fraction * pctTrump) + (female fraction * pctTrump) = exitpoll Trump
Trump exit poll .42*51 + .58*38 = 43.46
Biden exit poll (male fraction * pctBiden) + (female fraction * pctBiden) = exitpoll Biden
Biden exit poll .42*41 + .58*61 = 52.60
Trump vote 42.9
Biden vote 54.0

MICHIGAN
Trump exit poll .46*54 + .54*42 = 47.52
Biden exit poll .46*43 + .54*57 = 50.56
Trump vote 47.8
Biden vote 50.6

WISCONSIN
Trump exit poll .50*54 + .50*43 = 48.50
Biden exit poll .50*44 + .50*56 = 50.00
Trump vote 48.8
Biden vote 49.4


NORTH CAROLINA
Trump exit poll .45*53 + .55*45 = 48.60
Biden exit poll .45*44 + .55*53 = 48.95
Trump vote 50.1
Biden vote 48.7


PENNSYLVANIA
Trump exit poll .45*54 + .55*45 = 49.05
Biden exit poll .45*44 + .55*54 = 49.50
Trump vote 49.3
Biden vote 49.5


IOWA
Trump exit poll .48*58 + .52*47 = 52.28
Biden exit poll .48*39 + .52*52 = 45.76
Trump vote 52.7
Biden vote 45.4


GEORGIA
Trump exit poll .45*56 + .55*44 = 49.40
Biden exit poll .45*42 + .55*54 = 48.60
Trump vote 49.4-
Biden vote 49.4+


MONTANA
Trump exit poll .50*63 + .50*52 = 57.50
Biden exit poll .50*33 + .50*47 = 40.00
Trump vote 56.5
Biden vote 40.6


ARIZONA
Trump exit poll .48*49 + .52*47 = 47.96
Biden exit poll .48*49 + .52*52 = 50.56
Trump vote 48.6
Biden vote 50.0


MINNESOTA
Trump exit poll .46*51 + .54*41 = 45.60
Biden exit poll .46*46 + .54*58 = 52.48
Trump vote 45.4
Biden vote 52.6


COLORADO
Trump exit poll .46*47 + .54*37 = 41.60
Biden exit poll .46*49 + .54*61 = 55.48
Trump vote 42.2
Biden vote 55.2


NEVADA
Trump exit poll .49*52 + .51*42 = 46.90
Biden exit poll .49*44 + .51*53 = 48.49
Trump vote 48.1
Biden vote 49.8


FLORIDA
Trump exit poll .45*53 + .55*47 = 49.70
Biden exit poll .45*44 + .55*52 = 48.40
Trump vote 51.2
Biden vote 47.8


NEW HAMPSHIRE
Trump exit poll .47*51 + .53*40 = 45.17
Biden exit poll .47*47 + .53*58 = 52.83
Trump vote 45.5
Biden vote 52.6



http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63976&p=2

Quote:

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Originally posted by SignyM:
One interesting thing to look at would be the #of votes for GOP Senators v #votes for Trump. Because if there are a lot more votes for GOP Senators than for Trump, either GOP voters left the "President" box unmarked or split their ticket, (unlikely, most people vote straight ticket) or the Trump vote tally was monkeyed with.

And just for comparison, do the same for #votes for DEM Senators compared to the #votes for Biden. Because if the #votes for Biden vastly exceeds the #votes for DEM Senators, then either DEM voters refused to vote down-ballot (HIGHLY unlikely, most people vote straight ticket and if they're going to hold their nose and vote for a corrupt politico like Joe they'll for sure vote downballot) or the Biden vote tally was monkeyed with.

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Quote:

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Why Does Biden Have So Many More Votes Than Democrat Senators In Swing States?

In most elections, the majority of votes are cast "down the ticket" - meaning, a voter supports both party's presidential nominee and state Congressional candidates. In fact, according to Pew Research, "overwhelming shares of voters who are supporting Trump and Biden say they are also supporting the same-party candidate for Senate."

Typically, this means that that the number of votes for a presidential candidate and that party's Senate candidates are relatively close.

Twitter user "US Rebel" (@USRebellion1776), however, found that the number of votes cast for Joe Biden far exce

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