Elections 2020, Hey Jack, I Was Right. Trump And The Republicans Lost Big Time
POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 02:11
VIEWED: 133576
PAGE 25 of 187
Kelly leads McSally in Arizona Senate race
Retired astronaut Mark Kelly (D) leads Sen. Martha McSally (R) by a narrow 3-point margin in Arizona, a state critical to Democratic chances of recapturing the Senate in the 2020 elections, according to a new poll.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/poll-kelly-leads-mcsally
-in-arizona-senate-race/ar-AAK1Cog?ocid=spartanntp
T 
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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lol
That's cute.
You probably should pay attention to the fact that this lead has grown smaller since the August poll, and that the incumbent Republican has a high favorability among Hispanic voters.
Also keep in mind that there are 3,588,466 registered voters, of which 74.17% of them voted in the last presidential election.
This poll surveyed 628 of them, or 0.00017% of voters.
Also to note is that despite the fact that Rocket Man polls better among females and McSally polls better among males, the study polled 52% women and 48% men. This alone could swing the result 1 point in favor of McSally if it were even representation.
And, for extreme lolz factor, apparently there were quite a few retards that were polled.
Page 6 asks the question "When you cast your vote for a member of Congress, which party will you vote for?"
278 people said Democrat (44%)
278 people said Republican (44%)
So three percent more said they'd vote for Rocket Man when asked the very same question in a different way.
It's undetermined at this time if these retards were Democrats or Republicans.
In all likelihood, no more than 10% of any of the 628 people even knew who either of these people are this far out before the election.
Let's see what the polls say when they both start the brainwashing ad campaigns, shall we?
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
lol
Come on guys! Give me a blew wave this time please!
New poll shows Lindsey Graham 'extremely vulnerable' in 2020
By Dan Desai Martin -
December 13, 2019 5:04 PM
A 2020 win in South Carolina could help Democrats as they attempt to take back the majority in the Senate.
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) holds only a small 2-point lead over likely Democratic opponent Jaime Harrison in a state Donald Trump carried by 14 points in 2016, according to a new poll released Friday.
According to a Change Research/Post and Courier poll, Graham holds a 47% to 45% lead over Harrison, with 9% of voters still undecided.
"Senator Lindsey Graham's favorability is exceptionally low among Independent voters and in hypothetical general election match-ups," the poll notes. "He looks extremely vulnerable against Democratic contender Jaime Harrison."
https://americanindependent.com/lindsey-graham-poll-2020-election-sena
te-south-carolina-jaime-harrison/
tick tock
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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Quote:
Originally posted by THG:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
lol
Come on guys! Give me a blew wave this time please!
New poll shows Lindsey Graham 'extremely vulnerable' in 2020
By Dan Desai Martin -
December 13, 2019 5:04 PM
A 2020 win in South Carolina could help Democrats as they attempt to take back the majority in the Senate.
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) holds only a small 2-point lead over likely Democratic opponent Jaime Harrison in a state Donald Trump carried by 14 points in 2016, according to a new poll released Friday.
According to a Change Research/Post and Courier poll, Graham holds a 47% to 45% lead over Harrison, with 9% of voters still undecided.
"Senator Lindsey Graham's favorability is exceptionally low among Independent voters and in hypothetical general election match-ups," the poll notes. "He looks extremely vulnerable against Democratic contender Jaime Harrison."
https://americanindependent.com/lindsey-graham-poll-2020-election-sena
te-south-carolina-jaime-harrison/
tick tock
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
First off...
Before the title of the article you cited here, IN BIG BOLD LETTERS are the words "Progressive journalism is under attack. Please help us fight back! DONATE"
lol... no agenda here, I'm sure.
Second...
It's online polling. Online polling is historically inaccurate, for quite a few reasons, but especially due to the nature of internet anonymity.
Quote:
Change Research surveyed 998 likely primary voters in South Carolina, including 392 likely Democratic primary voters. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is ± 3.1% for the full sample and ±4.9% for Democratic voters. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Our Dynamic Online Sampling delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, region, 2016 primary and presidential vote, and self-reported social media use.
It's virtually meaningless.
Third...
Even Nate Silver admits a Liberal bias to "Change Research" and their methodology.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
Anybody who doesn't give two shits what Nate Silver's opinion is about anything can just read Change Research's about page to see how gross they are.
https://www.changeresearch.com/our-story
Forth...
The Change Research poll states "Senator Lindsey Graham has a low favorability rating among likely South Carolina general election voters, with 38% of respondents viewing him very or somewhat favorably, and 53% of respondents viewing him very or somewhat unfavorably."
The same thing could be said about ANY member of congress. 38% is actually quite high for a congressman, with most being somewhere in the 20's at any given time.
This boost is likely because of Republicans in the state that are against impeachment. It's the same boost that Nancy Pelosi is getting right now too from Democrats, which in the RCP aggregate of polls has her at 37.7% favorable and 49.9% unfavorable.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/other/FavorabilityRatin
gsPoliticalLeaders.html
These are HIGH numbers for a member of congress. Hate to burst your bubble.
In summation, we have a highly biased online poll from a highly biased polling firm being reported on with a highly biased spin that has nothing to do with reality of statistical history even if the polling was somehow spot on in the first place.
Wowie!
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Seriously dude.
Do yourself a favor and don't buy into any singular poll.
I'll tell that to anybody on either side. Any dipshit that's going to point out a singular poll that Hannity showed them for whatever his nightly narrative in between boner pill ads is going to be let down when time shoots the results down.
And, just like the poll I debunked from the other day before this, if you're going to put stock into a single poll, at least look at the polls history and see what the numbers were the last time it was conducted. The media spin might give the poll a headline that sounds positive, but if the poll is actually showing worse numbers for what you want to see than the same poll from a few months before, chances are things aren't going as well as the news headline framed it.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
lol
Come on guys! Give me a blew wave this time please!
New poll shows Lindsey Graham 'extremely vulnerable' in 2020
By Dan Desai Martin -
December 13, 2019 5:04 PM
A 2020 win in South Carolina could help Democrats as they attempt to take back the majority in the Senate.
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) holds only a small 2-point lead over likely Democratic opponent Jaime Harrison in a state Donald Trump carried by 14 points in 2016, according to a new poll released Friday.
According to a Change Research/Post and Courier poll, Graham holds a 47% to 45% lead over Harrison, with 9% of voters still undecided.
"Senator Lindsey Graham's favorability is exceptionally low among Independent voters and in hypothetical general election match-ups," the poll notes. "He looks extremely vulnerable against Democratic contender Jaime Harrison."
https://americanindependent.com/lindsey-graham-poll-2020-election-sena
te-south-carolina-jaime-harrison/
tick tock
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
First off...
Before the title of the article you cited here, IN BIG BOLD LETTERS are the words "Progressive journalism is under attack. Please help us fight back! DONATE"
lol... no agenda here, I'm sure.
No, it doesn't.
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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Yeah. It does. I'm looking at it right now.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Oh... and I just happened to have that tab up still that 538 used to grade different polling firms and even Nate Silver gives Change Research a "C" rating.
It comes in 26th place for the most polls being analyzed by 538, with 57 polls, whatever their criteria are. That might not sound high, but the bias page I cited earlier has at least 300 polling firms on there, if not 400 or even 500. 57 is certainly enough polls to go through to make a case that a polling firm is legitmate... especially if they're giving you results that you want to hear.
But even Nate Silver isn't going to put any stock in online polling.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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https://www.axios.com/focus-group-michigan-swing-voters-trump-impeachm
ent-183e4fc7-5ecc-41bd-add1-537ed8a2fd8f.html
Note: Not a poll, and reported by axios.com which is considered LEFT-Center on mediabiasfactcheck.
It doesn't matter at all if 5 million more people vote for the Dem nominee than they did for Hillary in California, New York and Illinois. Not even 10 or 20 million more.
It's the swing states that matter, and Trump made a few more of them in 2016 that nobody ever would have believed he could have.
At the end of the day, the Democrats on the debate stage haven't addressed anything these voters are actually concerned about, and in many cases have outright defied their wishes.
When it's a head-to-head matchup of Trump vs one whoever is picked, watch the Democrat support in the states that matter do a nosedive.
All Wednesday is going to do is give you a license to bitch about things for the next five years. One can only hope that enough Democrats do the right thing and put an end to this now so we can go back to sanity for at least the next five years.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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