A thread for Democrats Only
POSTED BY: THGRRI
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 15:36
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Quote:I am pretty damn sure that lower rationality causes lower economic status. But for sure it is a fact that lower education levels correlate with lower economic status. Not every uneducated person is on the bottom and not every educated person is on the top, but that is the tendency. Interestingly, pollsters who don't correct for low education levels will under-count Trump voters, thus overestimating support for Democrats. An example from Georgia:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Economists who view people as 'rational actors', who ONLY act in the economic sphere, are so quaint.
The bad news for optimistic Democrats is that the fine print on the poll contains a sentence that should be a huge red flag to contemporary consumers of political polling: The data are weighted based on race, age and sex to accurately reflect the demographics of the state.
There’s nothing wrong with weighting your sample based on race, age, and sex to match the demographics of the state. That’s standard practice in the industry. The problem is what the poll didn’t weight on — educational attainment. Many state-level polls omitted this factor in 2016, leading them to underestimate Trump’s strength in key swing states. The most responsible pollsters responded to 2016 by making sure to improve their weighting. But many pollsters — especially those doing state-level polling — continue not to weight by education.
This failure to weight not only leads to errors (which could be compensated for by averaging), it leads to systematic bias against Trump and the GOP, meaning everyone who publishes or disseminates unweighted polls ends up contributing to misinformation about the real state of American politics.
More at www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/11/14/20961794/education-weight-s
tate-polls-trump-2020-election
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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You're already proving my point about Bolton here.
Quite humorous that you haven't figured that out yet.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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How FedEx’s tax bill went from $1.5 Billion to $0
Founder lobbied Trump for corporate rate cut
In the 2017 fiscal year, FedEx owed more than $1.5 billion in taxes. The next year, it owed nothing. What changed was the Trump administration’s tax cut — for which the company had lobbied hard.
The public face of its lobbying effort, which included a tax proposal of its own, was FedEx’s founder and chief executive, Frederick Smith, who repeatedly took to the airwaves to champion the power of tax cuts. “If you make the United States a better place to invest, there is no question in my mind that we would see a renaissance of capital investment,” he said on an August 2017 radio show hosted by Larry Kudlow, who is now chairman of the National Economic Council.
Four months later, President Donald Trump signed into law the $1.5 trillion tax cut that became his signature legislative achievement. FedEx reaped big savings, bringing its effective tax rate to less than zero in fiscal year 2018 from 34 percent in fiscal year 2017, meaning that, overall, the government technically owed it money. But it did not increase investment in new equipment and other assets in the fiscal year that followed as Smith said businesses like his would.
Nearly two years after the tax law passed, the windfall to corporations like FedEx is becoming clear. A New York Times analysis of data compiled by Capital IQ shows no statistically meaningful relationship between the size of the tax cut that companies and industries received and the investments they made. If anything, the companies that received the biggest tax cuts increased their capital investment by less, on average, than companies that got smaller cuts.
More at www.nytimes.com/2019/11/17/business/how-fedex-cut-its-tax-bill-to-0.ht
ml
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Time already told. It's about the facts and only the facts. Bolton is about asRepublicanNEO-CON as it gets.
billion flies eat shit.
You changed what I said. You've misquoted me. It is something you and sig do all the time. You two also make shit up out of thin air as if you are quoting someone. Then you respond to it. Sick, kiki you're a sick and dishonest troll. You can't expect anyone to respect what you post or believe any of it is true?
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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Budgetary Costs of Post-9/11 Wars Through FY2020: $6.4 Trillion
Direct War Death Toll Since 2001: 801,000
The numbers continue to accelerate, not only because many wars continue to be waged, but also because wars don't end when soldiers come home. - www.brown.edu/news/2019-11-13/costsofwar
Costs: https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/figures/2019/budgetary-costs-post-
911-wars-through-fy2020-64-trillion
Deaths: https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/figures/2019/direct-war-death-toll
-2001-801000
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Iraq was perhaps the biggest mistake ever. Hard to think of something worse at the moment.
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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Quote:Easy to think of something worse: Truman nuking Japanese civilians followed by Republican Senators darkly warning that Stalin was next. Stalin believed them. He responded by building his own A-bombs. Truman responded with his super-bomb, the H-bomb. Stalin responded with his H-bomb. Domestic nuclear testing wreaked havoc: At least 340,000 Americans died from radioactive fallout between 1951 and 1973.
Originally posted by THG:
Iraq was perhaps the biggest mistake ever. Hard to think of something worse at the moment.
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
https://bigthink.com/politics-current-affairs/new-estimate-deaths-from
-us-nuclear-tests
Umpteen trillion dollars have been spent on nukes and the fancy delivery systems for nukes. Trillions more will be spent, starting today:
www.defensenews.com/space/2019/01/24/heres-how-many-billions-the-us-wi
ll-spend-on-nuclear-weapons-over-the-next-decade/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:Easy to think of something worse: Truman nuking Japanese civilians followed by Republican Senators darkly warning that Stalin was next.
Originally posted by THG:
Iraq was perhaps the biggest mistake ever. Hard to think of something worse at the moment.
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
That's up for debate second. It is estimated it saved half a million American lives. That's because all Japanese were going to fight to the last man. It's also foolish to think Stalin and others weren't going to develop their own bomb regardless.
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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Quote:Nuclear weapons shocked Japan into surrendering at the end of World War II—except they didn’t. Japan surrendered because the Soviet Union entered the war. Japanese leaders said the bomb forced them to surrender because it was less embarrassing to say they had been defeated by a miracle weapon. Americans wanted to believe it, and the myth of nuclear weapons was born.
Originally posted by THG:
That's up for debate second. It is estimated it saved half a million American lives. That's because all Japanese were going to fight to the last man. It's also foolish to think Stalin and others weren't going to develop their own bomb regardless.
Look at the facts. The United States bombed 68 cities in the summer of 1945. If you graph the number of people killed in all 68 of those attacks, you imagine that Hiroshima is off the charts, because that’s the way it’s usually presented. In fact, Hiroshima is second. Tokyo, a conventional attack, is first in the number killed. If you graph the number of square miles destroyed, Hiroshima is sixth. If you graph the percentage of the city destroyed, Hiroshima is 17th.
Clearly, in terms of the end result — I’m not talking about the means, but in terms of the outcome of the attack — Hiroshima was not exceptional. It was not outside the parameters of attacks that had been going on all summer long.
More at www.carnegiecouncil.org/education/008/expertclips/010
Special To The Japan Times
www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2016/08/06/commentary/japan-surrender-wor
ld-war-ii/
Historian Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, in his 2005 book “Racing the Enemy,” provides compelling evidence that the Pacific War ended due to the entry of the Soviets, not the atomic bombings. Having tasted defeat at the hands of the Soviets twice in the late 1930s in Manchurian border clashes, the generals knew that the new front meant further resistance was futile.
Sheldon Garon, a professor of history at Princeton University, takes issue with Hasegawa’s contention that the military was insouciant about Japanese suffering and ready to fight to the last civilian. Recently, Garon gave a talk in Tokyo about an ongoing book project focusing on how the war was lost for Germany and Japan.
He argues that the U.S. was surprised by Japan’s sudden surrender, noting that by Aug. 19, 1945, America would have had three more atomic bombs ready and had six more in production — it did not anticipate a swift end.
According to Garon, the Japanese military was deeply concerned by worsening conditions in Japan because they were undermining the war effort. Authorities, for example, planned the evacuation of a few hundred thousand school children to spare them the urban conflagrations, but were not prepared for the mass exodus of adults who bailed because they knew the military could not protect them. Roads out of Tokyo were clogged with these refugees: 8.5 million fled Japanese cities in the final five months of war, paralyzing transport networks.
This rural-escape survival strategy meant demoralized workers were abandoning factories, compounding existing shortages of war-related production.
According to Garon, these acts of sabotage also meant that an orderly society was no longer obeying orders, responding to accumulating signs of impending defeat. Alas, many of these unlucky refugees fled to smaller cities, and thus were subject to more bombings as America moved onto second-tier targets. The U.S. dropped leaflets warning of impending strikes, and then delivered, stoking fear and undermining faith in the government.
Officials were also demoralized by Germany’s surrender, and the horrific fight to the end that Adolf Hitler insisted on, subjecting his people and cities to a relentless pounding.
Garon observes that the Germans fought like samurai, sacrificing all even when they knew it was for a losing cause. While much is made of Japanese authorities training women and children to resist U.S. invaders with bamboo staves, Garon notes that none ever d
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Quote:
Originally posted by THUGGER:
Time already told. It's about the facts and only the facts. Bolton is about asRepublicanNEO-CON as it gets.
Quote:JEEZE - what gave it away Sherlock? The strike-out of your words? The CAPS of mine? Perhaps the different color of mine?
Originally posted by THUGGER:
You changed what I said. You've misquoted me. It is something you and sig do all the time. You two also make shit up out of thin air as if you are quoting someone. Then you respond to it. Sick, kiki you're a sick and dishonest troll. You can't expect anyone to respect what you post or believe any of it is true?
It's not as if I was hiding what I did and then pretending they were your words, or anything. I was COMMENTING - without the tedium of having to type everything out all over.
What a funny dolt you are!
Flies shit.
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