Real World Event Discussions

Dow @ 20K. Time to jump off!

POSTED BY: JO753
UPDATED: Friday, April 4, 2025 13:08
VIEWED: 120054
PAGE 61 of 119

Saturday, August 25, 2018 11:54 AM


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Although a lot of people would be relieved if it drops to 22,623 before rebounding.


Perhaps I should point out, here in the moment: these are the days of making the largest gains in funds. Buying at a discount of 6% can get an easy gain on bounce back, in a matter of days instead of the 55 days it recently took to scale this mountain of stock value.
And if it can drop to 22,623 then the rebound can only be reasonably expected to be 5% to 10% of the all-time high, so buying at the end of Monday could still result in a loss.
But regardless, whenever the market hits the best bargain price, that is when the common trader has the greatest opportunity to grow their funds. Although this volatility is just noise, the potential for growth is far greater than days of a couple hundred point gains.

This was posted on 6 Feb. I should try to post it at top of page for convenience, since a lot of noise has been posted since then.

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Saturday, August 25, 2018 11:56 AM


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Alright, so let's take a moment to explore the scenario if the Libtard view actually wasn't a delusion.

Their premise is that the real actual value of the Market is represented by Dow 15,000.
So then 26,616 is an actual overevaluation of 11,616 - or 177% of the true value. That may well be a historical record.
So if Dow goes no higher than that during this cycle, then a drop to 22,623 will signal onset of a Bear Market cycle. The rebound will go to about 23,954 - 25,285 range and then drop. A Bear Market drop always bottoms far below the true value of a stock, so the Dow would at this point bottom out around 8,000 - 12,000. The would represent a drop of 55% - 70%. Such a large drop gives investors plenty of time or range to recognize the drop and exit their stocks, before the bottom price is available to buy back in for massive gains - doubling or tripling your fund value. Unless the Libtard duplicates 2008 and keeps all their money in the Market until they've lost 60% of their life savings. So what are the Libtards panicking about? Their scenario provides the best possible outcome for their funds!

By comparison OTOH, if the Libtards are delusional and the Stock Market is the Real World, then a couple extreme possibilities can be presented.
One is that, for no reason, the current high of 26,616 remains the peak of this cycle. The drop to trigger remains the same as above, as well as the rebound range. But then the bottom would be more like 17,740 (67%) or we could hope for 13,300 (50%). The discount price for buying back in would not be as big of a bargain, plus the time of range of drop would be more brief, so exiting the fund would be more time critical, allowing for less dilly-dallying. And then the recovery gains would only be 30 - 50%.
The other possibility would be that the explanation for Obamanomics which I posted earlier in this thread are correct. The Market will continue to climb, for up to 8 years, before moving to Bear Market.
By that time most folk would have forgotten about Libtard delusional theories.

Another repost, for convenience. From 8 Feb.

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Saturday, August 25, 2018 11:58 AM


Top-of-the-Page reposting, from 22 May:

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Dow closed today at 23,533. A drop of 1.7% today. This is 11.6% off the Record All-Time High. Hard to beat a discount price like this to buy in at. Buffet must be buying like crazy about now.
The Dow closed at 23,860 on 8 February.
Dow closed at 23,539 on 4 November 2017.
Dow closed at 23,516 on 3 November 2017.

Today Trump signed the Cramnibus Spendaholic bill, largest spending bill in history, to last until September if this year, 6 months from now.


Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Although a lot of people would be relieved if it drops to 22,623 before rebounding.


Perhaps I should point out, here in the moment: these are the days of making the largest gains in funds. Buying at a discount of 6% can get an easy gain on bounce back, in a matter of days instead of the 55 days it recently took to scale this mountain of stock value.
And if it can drop to 22,623 then the rebound can only be reasonably expected to be 5% to 10% of the all-time high, so buying at the end of Monday could still result in a loss.
But regardless, whenever the market hits the best bargain price, that is when the common trader has the greatest opportunity to grow their funds. Although this volatility is just noise, the potential for growth is far greater than days of a couple hundred point gains.



This was posted 23 March, with the lowest close of the Dow in 2018, at 23,533.
Prior to 4 November 2017 the Dow had never closed higher than 23,516.

Today Dow closed at 24,834.


The within quote was from 6 Feb. Folk can't say I didn't provide the recipe in time.

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Saturday, August 25, 2018 2:19 PM

I also just noticed that the 2 funds that my retirement account is in right now have hit their Record All-Time High value.

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Saturday, August 25, 2018 2:26 PM

If you ain't sharin' people ain't carin'.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, August 25, 2018 4:53 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I also just noticed that the 2 funds that my retirement account is in right now have hit their Record All-Time High value.

Despite not wanting to brag, Trump modestly gave himself all the credit for your increase: “Had Hillary and the Democrats gotten in, had she been president, you would have had negative growth. We picked up $10 trillion in worth.”

www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/08/23/trump-declares-market-would-crash-
if-democrats-impeached-him.html


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Sunday, August 26, 2018 9:05 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
If you ain't sharin' people ain't carin'.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

You mean my 2 funds? Millions of working people share my funds.
It's not a secret.

They mirror many index funds, which are all increasing in share value.
It's not a secret.

I've been sharing information on the rising value of Stock Market funds.
It's not a secret, except to you.

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Sunday, August 26, 2018 9:08 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I also just noticed that the 2 funds that my retirement account is in right now have hit their Record All-Time High value.

Despite not wanting to brag, Trump modestly gave himself all the credit for your increase: “Had Hillary and the Democrats gotten in, had she been president, you would have had negative growth. We picked up $10 trillion in worth.”

Despite your overwhelming obsession with regurgitating Fake News, it's almost amazing that you can post the greatest of truths.

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Tuesday, August 28, 2018 5:41 AM

Dow closed today at 26,049. This is 2.1% off the Record All-Time High. This is a full 1% gain for the day. This is the first close above 26K since January. This is one of 13 closes above 26K in the history of the Dow.

This is the 32nd day in a row over 25K, the 8th over 25,500.
The prior longest streak over 25K was 21 days, in January.

S&P500 closed at 2,896. This is a new Record All-Time High.

NASDAQ closed at 8,017. This is a new Record All-Time High.


Perhaps your opportunity to Jump Off has passed - now if you exit the Market you will be forced to absorb an increase in the value of your fund.

Wednesday the monthly update on the economy will be released.
Also Wednesday is the 10th Anniversary of the announcement of Sarah Palin as candidate for Vice President, giving voice and spurring the beginnings of the Tea Party Patriots.
Thursday will be the Jobless Claims report, already at historic number of weeks at historic lows levels.

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Tuesday, August 28, 2018 6:49 AM

All those reports are just as "fake news" today as they were under the Obama administration.

I don't see why you choose to believe any of them today, when you didn't believe them 4 years ago.


I mean, I get why Trump won't recognize this flaw in logic because he has something to personally gain from denying the facts in 2018. I don't see what you have to gain from it though.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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