Real World Event Discussions

Dow @ 20K. Time to jump off!

POSTED BY: JO753
UPDATED: Friday, April 4, 2025 13:08
VIEWED: 120054
PAGE 47 of 119

Saturday, May 5, 2018 4:47 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Dow closed today at 23,924. This is the best bargain price since 2 April.

I think this is the 7th day of this year with a close of more than 10% off the Record All-Time High.

The Fed Report came out today. Reportedly a larger than expected investment figure from companies.

It's only a bargain if you haven't actually lost 10%.

Time will tell.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

If you are buying at the highest price and selling at lows, you are not interested in a bargain. Go back to investing in your slot machines and fuel reservoirs.

What I'm saying is that somebody who bought 10% ago might have already bought at a high and is now 10% less rich.

Only if you sell at the low, which is what I pointed out.
If you don't sell at a loss, and sell at a gain, then you don't lose.
Or, as worst case, if you sell at a loss to avoid a greater loss or to obtain a juxtaposed gain, then you still don't lose overall.

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Saturday, May 5, 2018 9:04 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Dow closed today at 23,924. This is the best bargain price since 2 April.

I think this is the 7th day of this year with a close of more than 10% off the Record All-Time High.

The Fed Report came out today. Reportedly a larger than expected investment figure from companies.

It's only a bargain if you haven't actually lost 10%.

Time will tell.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

If you are buying at the highest price and selling at lows, you are not interested in a bargain. Go back to investing in your slot machines and fuel reservoirs.

What I'm saying is that somebody who bought 10% ago might have already bought at a high and is now 10% less rich.

Only if you sell at the low, which is what I pointed out.
If you don't sell at a loss, and sell at a gain, then you don't lose.
Or, as worst case, if you sell at a loss to avoid a greater loss or to obtain a juxtaposed gain, then you still don't lose overall.



Once again kids. Don't gamble with money you can't afford to lose.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, May 8, 2018 3:38 AM

Dow closed at 24,357 today. Less than 1% up and down during the session, but 2nd day of gains since the Jobs Report came out.

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Thursday, May 10, 2018 3:39 AM

Dow closed today 24,542. The 4th day of gains following the Jobs Report. This is the highest close since 19 April. The trading session did include a range of highs and lows of more than 1%.

This is 7.8% off the Record All-Time High.

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Thursday, May 10, 2018 3:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Although a lot of people would be relieved if it drops to 22,623 before rebounding.


Perhaps I should point out, here in the moment: these are the days of making the largest gains in funds. Buying at a discount of 6% can get an easy gain on bounce back, in a matter of days instead of the 55 days it recently took to scale this mountain of stock value.
And if it can drop to 22,623 then the rebound can only be reasonably expected to be 5% to 10% of the all-time high, so buying at the end of Monday could still result in a loss.
But regardless, whenever the market hits the best bargain price, that is when the common trader has the greatest opportunity to grow their funds. Although this volatility is just noise, the potential for growth is far greater than days of a couple hundred point gains.

This was posted on 6 Feb. I should try to post it at top of page for convenience, since a lot of noise has been posted since then.

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Thursday, May 10, 2018 4:12 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Alright, so let's take a moment to explore the scenario if the Libtard view actually wasn't a delusion.

Their premise is that the real actual value of the Market is represented by Dow 15,000.
So then 26,616 is an actual overevaluation of 11,616 - or 177% of the true value. That may well be a historical record.
So if Dow goes no higher than that during this cycle, then a drop to 22,623 will signal onset of a Bear Market cycle. The rebound will go to about 23,954 - 25,285 range and then drop. A Bear Market drop always bottoms far below the true value of a stock, so the Dow would at this point bottom out around 8,000 - 12,000. The would represent a drop of 55% - 70%. Such a large drop gives investors plenty of time or range to recognize the drop and exit their stocks, before the bottom price is available to buy back in for massive gains - doubling or tripling your fund value. Unless the Libtard duplicates 2008 and keeps all their money in the Market until they've lost 60% of their life savings. So what are the Libtards panicking about? Their scenario provides the best possible outcome for their funds!

By comparison OTOH, if the Libtards are delusional and the Stock Market is the Real World, then a couple extreme possibilities can be presented.
One is that, for no reason, the current high of 26,616 remains the peak of this cycle. The drop to trigger remains the same as above, as well as the rebound range. But then the bottom would be more like 17,740 (67%) or we could hope for 13,300 (50%). The discount price for buying back in would not be as big of a bargain, plus the time of range of drop would be more brief, so exiting the fund would be more time critical, allowing for less dilly-dallying. And then the recovery gains would only be 30 - 50%.
The other possibility would be that the explanation for Obamanomics which I posted earlier in this thread are correct. The Market will continue to climb, for up to 8 years, before moving to Bear Market.
By that time most folk would have forgotten about Libtard delusional theories.

Another repost, for convenience. From 8 Feb.

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Friday, May 11, 2018 2:02 AM

Dow closed at 24,739. The 5th day of gain since the Jobs Report. (Which showed the lowest Unemployment Rate since 1960s, the Lowest U-6 ever, the lowest Marginally Attached ever, the lowest Involuntary Part-time since 1994)

This is a gain of 3.4% since the bargain price on 3 May, 5 trading days ago. This is 54% APR.

This is 7.05% off the Record All-Time High.

Intraday trading of Dow again spanned more than 1% today. Afternoon trading was above 24,790 before settling. That is the highest since 18 April. The last Dow close that high was 16 March, before the Facebook drop.

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Saturday, May 12, 2018 2:00 AM

Dow closed today at 24,831. This is the 6th day of gains since the Jobs Report. This is the highest close since 16 March.

This is 6.7% off the Record All-Time High.

This is a gain of 3.8% since 3 May, or 54% APR.

Dow traded today over 24,860 before settling down.

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Tuesday, May 15, 2018 3:18 AM

Dow closed at 24,899 today. This is the 7th day of gains since the Jobs Report. To be fair, that was also the day that Federal Judge T.S. Ellis slammed Mueller's Witch Hunt.

This is 6.5% off the Record All-Time High. This is 5% above the discount price of 23 March.

Dow traded over 24,990 during the session. Dow has not closed above that since 13 March, 2 months ago.

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Tuesday, May 15, 2018 9:01 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by THGRRI:
JP Morgan co-president warns of 'deep correction' for stocks totaling as much as 40% over next few years

"The equity market has some way to go for the next year to two," said J.P. Morgan's Daniel Pinto. "But then, if there is a correction, it could be a deep correction."

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/08/jp-morgan-co-president-warns-of-deep-c
orrection-for-stocks-totaling-as-much-as-40-percent.html


T

Preserved for posterity. This was posted 10 March.

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