Disney's Wish Failure Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, December 12, 2023 01:32
VIEWED: 2521
PAGE 1 of 3
*NOTE: Thread title has changed, dropping the "(Assuming the $200 Million Production Budget is True)" now that it has been verified by The-Numbers.com.
The thread title says it all. If the rumors are true and Wish cost Disney $200 Million to make, it will fail.
It will need $500 Million Worldwide to break even, and Deadline is predicting only a $50 Million 5-day Thanksgiving Holiday weekend Domestic gross.
https://deadline.com/2023/11/box-office-wish-napoleon-projection-12355
91106/
Even if this somehow got $100 Million internationally against the $50 Million Domestic, it would still never reach $500 Million by the end of its run. It will also be in direct competition with Disney's other late-year flop The Marvels, which will have come out 12 days prior.
So if that $200 Million budget figure is true, they'd better do a lot better than $50 Million Domestic on a 5-Day Thanksgiving weekend.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
The thread title says it all. If the rumors are true and Wish cost Disney $200 Million to make, it will fail.
It will need $500 Million Worldwide to break even, and Deadline is predicting only a $50 Million 5-day Thanksgiving Holiday weekend Domestic gross.
https://deadline.com/2023/11/box-office-wish-napoleon-projection-12355
91106/
Even if this somehow got $100 Million internationally against the $50 Million Domestic, it would still never reach $500 Million by the end of its run. It will also be in direct competition with Disney's other late-year flop The Marvels, which will have come out 12 days prior.
So if that $200 Million budget figure is true, they'd better do a lot better than $50 Million Domestic on a 5-Day Thanksgiving weekend.
I think more people are boycotting Disney then we and the media know
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It appears that the $200 Million budget was true and this is going to be another Disney failure for 2023.
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wish-(2023)#tab=summary
So far there are 54 reviews at Rotten Tomatoes and it's got a 59%.
Among the 14 Top critics, it's a measly 43%.
https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/wish_2023
These are basically mirroring the early reviews for The Marvels.
There ain't no chance this thing is hitting $500 Million to break even.
Disney should just take 2024 off. They'd lose a hell of a lot less money doing nothing than putting out any more of this insanely expensive crap that nobody wants to see.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Box Office Pro's predictions for the 3-Day and 5-Day Holiday Weekend:
3-Day Opening Weekend Range: $35M-$44M
5-Day Opening Weekend Range: $49M-$66M
https://www.boxofficepro.com/5-day-weekend-box-office-forecast-napoleo
n-and-wish-aim-to-bring-out-thanksgiving-moviegoers/
Tuesday Night Previews were only $2.6 Million.
Rotten Tomatoes has an abysmal 47% Total Critics score with 107 reviews.
It's only 28% with 29 Top Critics Reviews.
Verified Audience is 83% with All Audience at only 68%.
https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/wish_2023
Chalk up another Super Flop for Disney here.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Box Office Pro's predictions for the 3-Day and 5-Day Holiday Weekend:
3-Day Opening Weekend Range: $35M-$44M
5-Day Opening Weekend Range: $49M-$66M
https://www.boxofficepro.com/5-day-weekend-box-office-forecast-napoleo
n-and-wish-aim-to-bring-out-thanksgiving-moviegoers/
Tuesday Night Previews were only $2.6 Million.
Rotten Tomatoes has an abysmal 47% Total Critics score with 107 reviews.
It's only 28% with 29 Top Critics Reviews.
Verified Audience is 83% with All Audience at only 68%.
https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/wish_2023
Chalk up another Super Flop for Disney here.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
Add a chick and make her gay
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Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
Add a chick and make her gay
... and lame!
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Oh... What I didn't mention about Wish's Tuesday previews...
1. First, $2.6 Million was either a typo on my part, or it's been downgraded since yesterday to only $2.3 Million.
2. It came in 4th place on Tuesday, with the Previews for Napoleon making $3 Million in 3,014 theaters.
3. The Marvels made $6.6 Million on Preview Thursday. Songbirds and Snakes made $5.75 Million on Preview Thursday. I do not know if this is a meaningful comparison here because I don't ever recall looking at a movie with a Tuesday night preview before.
4. Now, I don't know how Deadline got this info much sooner than Bruce did, but according to their article, Wish previewed on Tuesday and showed Opening day in 3,900 theaters.
https://deadline.com/2023/11/box-office-wish-napoleon-thanksgiving-123
5634036/
They also claim its leading the pack with $8.7M Wednesday Opening Night, but that includes the $2.3M from Tuesday's Previews, so only $6.4 Million for the opening.
Songbirds and Snakes made $13,298,744 on Opening Friday after you subtract the Thursday Previews.
The Marvels made $15,003,104 on Opening Friday after you subtract the Thursday previews.
I wouldn't read too deep into those Opening Night numbers though, because of how different Holiday Weekends are. (And I'm not versed enough in tracking any of this to give any legitimate predictions for the weekend without spending a few hours going back at least several years and comparing it to other movies in a similar position, which I don't have time to do today).
Songbirds and Snakes made $6.5 Million on Cheap Seat Tuesday. So without knowing what S&S made on Wednesday yet, that could very well mean that S&S had the great First Wednesday Fall that both The Marvels and Five Nights at Freddy's just recently experienced.
If that isn't what happened and it's very close between the 2 of them, there's a chance that S&S takes first place again this weekend and denies Disney a 1st place showing for their 100th anniversary animated film.
I don't think that's going to be the case, and frankly I don't want that to happen either. I want all three of these flicks to fail, and if S&S beats Wish this weekend it's even more likely that S&S manages to break even and even make a small profit.
I don't know if we're even going to be getting any updates beyond this today because of the holiday, and unless anything comes in soon-ish, I won't be reading or posting about them until tomorrow anyhow.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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We appear to have gotten preview numbers on all the movies that matter today.
According to Bruce, Wish only made $6 Million on Opening Wednesday ($8.3M - $2.3 Tuesday Previews).
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Unless Disney is highballing Friday again like they did with The Marvels, they've got to be happy with $8 Million on Friday after only $3.9 Million on Thanksgiving.
It's all projection at this point, but according to Disney, Wish has made $20.2 Million including previews from Tuesday night.
On Thanksgiving, Trolls Band Together only made $2.63 Million to Wish's $3.9 Million. On Friday, percentage-wise, Trolls closed that gap quite a bit with $7.09 Million to Wish's $8 Million.
It's unclear right now if Napoleon increased enough to keep Wish from getting 3rd place on Friday, but Songbirds and Snakes is almost certain to be the clear winner here since it grossed $2 Million more than Wish did on Thanksgiving.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Yup. Napoleon made enough. $8.35M projected vs. Wish's $8M projected for Friday. Wish gets 3rd place on Opening Friday.
The good money is on Songbirds and Snakes actually banking over $10 Million on Friday now.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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