Mid-Term Elections 2018
POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 02:13
VIEWED: 24731
PAGE 15 of 23
Quote:Both parties are already on war footing, and, barring divine intervention, they will remain that way until 2020. Democrats spent the years since the 2016 election doing what parties that lose do — recruiting a different crop of candidates, opening themselves up to some new activists and internal turmoil, and changing their messaging focus (2018 ads were all about health care, none about Trump being mean).
Originally posted by THG:
Forget the Sweet Talk -- Both Parties Will Go to the Mat
www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/11/10/forget_the_sweet_talk_--
_both_parties_will_go_to_the_mat_138614.html
Trump, meanwhile, spent two years acting as if winning 46 percent of the vote was the greatest achievement in the history of American politics, when in reality, Mitt Romney and John Kerry did better than that. He also broke his promise to divest from his business interests, broke his promise to promulgate a health care plan that would cover everybody, and went wildly over the top in breaking his promise to lay off the tweets and behave in a more presidential manner.
Through it all, the press would stop from time to time to remark on how attuned Trump was to his base, and how perfect he was at picking various fights — with Canada, with immigrants, with the FBI — that played to his base’s sensibilities.
Trump is perfectly attuned to his base. (Though, again, wet-noodle Romney got more than Trump’s 46 percent of the vote.) But it was also somewhat bizarre. Winning the presidency while losing the popular vote 46-48 is within the rules of the game, but it left Trump with a negative margin of error. The math was plain as day that all Democrats had to do was consolidate the people who didn’t like Trump and they’d blow the Republicans out.
But the House GOP seemed confident that their gerrymanders would hold. And then when polling in September and October suggested clearly that it wouldn’t, Trump started ranting about the caravan. The political goal here, we were told, was to rally Trump’s base to come back home, which more or less happened. Except 46 percent of the population just isn’t that many people.
Trump’s advantage is that while his base is not a majority of the country, it is very homogeneous. Almost 90 percent of Trump voters were white, and more than 70 percent had no college degree. That means some very basic appeals to white working-class identity politics plus the promise of anti-abortion judges for college-educated evangelicals hold the base together.
Clinton’s coalition, by contrast, was about one-third white professionals and about one-third working-class minorities (themselves split between black and Latino voters). About a quarter were working-class whites, joined by a smaller, but influential, group of college-educated nonwhites. Holding this group together is objectively difficult.
Charisma — the X-factor that put JFK, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama in the White House — is a traditional part of the Democrat’s formula. But so is fear. Clinton was handicapped in 2016 not only by her lack of charisma but by the basic reality that everyone thought she would win, nobody felt the fear, so some 5.6% of voters felt safe enough voting for 3rd party Jill Stein of the Green Party, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, despite them having a 0.0% chance of winning.
https://ballotpedia.org/Jill_Stein
By 2018, everyone knew better. And if they feel the same in 2020, Trump is doomed.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
So its smooth sailing ahead then Jack. We can look forward to you posting happy thoughts moving forward.
T
I'm good man. I have been for a while now.
You're one of the goons screaming about everything here. "I'm so happy" you said about more Democrats winning. Well, the ball is in your court friend. Are they going to make your dreams come true, or are you at least going to stop bitching and moaning and calling everybody names now? Or is it just two more years of you being a static character?
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Yep, tick tock
T 
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
So its smooth sailing ahead then Jack. We can look forward to you posting happy thoughts moving forward.
T
I'm good man. I have been for a while now.
You're one of the goons screaming about everything here. "I'm so happy" you said about more Democrats winning. Well, the ball is in your court friend. Are they going to make your dreams come true, or are you at least going to stop bitching and moaning and calling everybody names now? Or is it just two more years of you being a static character?
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Yep, tick tock
T
Your reply here quoted for posterity.
I expect no more bitching from you then.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Florida orders vote recount in Senate, governor races
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election/florida-orders-vote-re
count-in-senate-governor-races-idUSKCN1NF0PC
T
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Fingers crossed...
Hey, you guys know what white supremist hate more than Jews, Polaks. Who here fits that description? kiki and sig to name two. Who loves the Polak hater Trump, kiki and sig to name two.
Fucking dummies. T
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So far it appears the dems won 7 governorships, 35 house seats with 6 more still to be declared, and 337 legislative seats across the country. Oops...sorry, yea!!!
T
Hey, you guys know what white supremacist hate more than Jews, Polaks. Who here fits that description? kiki and sig to name two. Who loves the Polak hater Trump, kiki and sig to name two.
Fucking dummies.
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Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Forget the Sweet Talk -- Both Parties Will Go to the Map
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/11/10/forget_the_sweet
_talk_--_both_parties_will_go_to_the_mat_138614.html
T
The gerrymanding did hold as both the Dakotas went red. There should have been two big blue spots on South Dakota but because of the Republicans denying Native Americans their right to vote there isn't.
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Quote:
Originally posted by Brenda:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Forget the Sweet Talk -- Both Parties Will Go to the Map
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/11/10/forget_the_sweet
_talk_--_both_parties_will_go_to_the_mat_138614.html
T
The gerrymanding did hold as both the Dakotas went red. There should have been two big blue spots on South Dakota but because of the Republicans denying Native Americans their right to vote there isn't.
It's sad Brenda but even sadder is our local trolls denying the truth of it all.
T
Hey, you guys know what white supremacist hate more than Jews, Polaks. Who here fits that description? kiki and sig to name two. Who loves the Polak hater Trump, kiki and sig to name two.
Fucking dummies
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Quote:
Originally posted by Brenda:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Forget the Sweet Talk -- Both Parties Will Go to the Map
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/11/10/forget_the_sweet
_talk_--_both_parties_will_go_to_the_mat_138614.html
T
The gerrymanding did hold as both the Dakotas went red. There should have been two big blue spots on South Dakota but because of the Republicans denying Native Americans their right to vote there isn't.
Sorry Brenda. The Dakotas are always red.
North Dakota:
Quote:
North Dakota joined the Union in November 1889 and has participated in all elections from 1892 onwards. Since 1900, North Dakota voted Democratic 17.24 percent of the time and Republican 82.76 percent of the time. Since 1968, the state has always voted Republican.
South Dakota:
Quote:
South Dakota is reliably Republican in presidential elections – only voting Democratic four times, most recently in 1964 when Lyndon Johnson won a landslide victory over Barry Goldwater. South Dakota is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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