Real World Event Discussions

Will Your State Regain It's Representation Next Decade?

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Thursday, July 17, 2025 20:20
VIEWED: 14891
PAGE 10 of 12

Tuesday, April 27, 2021 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Also, last week HR51 was passed in the House, the D.C. Statehood bill.

If D.C. becomes a State, then it would lose it's 3 Electoral Votes as defined in The Constitution. Those would be replaced by 1 Electoral Vote, as Apportioned according to The Constitution.
If this new Statehood was in time for the new Apportionment - which it will not, then the 2 other seats would be apportioned, at this point, to TX and FL (absent further massaging.) So the House would lose 1 Dem seat edge (adding 1 Dem Seat, and 2 GOP Seats.)

lol

How much you want to bet they don't go ahead with this decision once somebody explains this to the horseface bartender?

My post was factually incomplete, so I just edited it.

You don't think Libtards have already paid for somebody to Math this for them?

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Tuesday, April 27, 2021 11:44 AM

I need to also look solely at this 2020 Vintage estimate data. It was released in Dec 2020, theoretically still under the Trump Admin, before Libtard massaging.


I will try to pack a new table.
Census 2010 pop (from my 2 Feb 2020 post),
2019 est pop (from census)
my projected 2020 pop (from my 14 Jan 2020 post - before covid, Lockdowns, exodus from CA, NY),
2020 Vintage est pop (released Dec 2020),
estimated seats
priority number




The first column is the population from 2010 based upon the published priority numbers actually used in the 2010 Apportionment list.

ST 2010 (Census) | 2019 est | Proj2020 | 2020Vint |
CA 53 37,341,990 | 39512223 | 39550199 | 39368078 | 51/051 764316/430
TX 36 25,268,418 | 28995881 | 29271292 | 29360759 | 38/089 762681/434
NY 27 19,421,055 | 19453561 | 19397469 | 19336776 | 24/141 789420/424 758450--436
FL 27 18,900,773 | 21477737 | 21652802 | 21733312 | 28/117 762689/433
IL 18 12,864,380 | 12671821 | 12633384 | 12587530 | 16/174 763231/432

PA 18 12,734,905 | 12801989 | 12802789 | 12783254 | 17/158 730770
OH 16 11,568,495 | 11689100 | 11698669 | 11693217 | 15/189 754793--438
MI 14 09,911,626 | 09986857 | 09988946 | 09966555 | 12/228 797963/420 738770
GA 14 09,727,566 | 10617423 | 10697142 | 10710017 | 14/203 739061--442
NC 13 09,565,782 | 10488084 | 10567936 | 10600823 | 13/216 785785/425

NJ 12 08,807,501 | 08882190 | 08879314 | 08882371 | 11/239 773111/429
VA 11 08,037,737 | 08535519 | 08561194 | 08590563 | 10/249 819078/417 747712--439
WA 10 06,753,369 | 07614893 | 07683161 | 07693612 | 09/258 810977/418
MA 09 06,569,644 | 06892503 | 06899904 | 06893574 | 09/267 726646
IN 09 06,501,582 | 06732219 | 06759761 | 06754953 | 08/293 796078/421

AZ 09 06,412,700 | 07278717 | 07369237 | 07421401 | 09/276 782284/426
TN 09 06,375,430 | 06829174 | 06872331 | 06886834 | 09/285
MO 08 06,011,478 | 06137428 | 06149282 | 06151548 | 08/301
MD 08 05,789,929 | 06045680 | 06053089 | 06055802 | 08/309
WI 08 05,698,230 | 05822434 | 05833705 | 05832655 | 08/317

MN 08 05,314,879 | 05639632 | 05664669 | 05657342 | 07/324 755994--437
CO 07 05,044,930 | 05758736 | 05809323 | 05807719 | 07/331 776089/427
AL 07 04,802,982 | 04903185 | 04914813 | 04921532 | 06/337 759408/435
SC 07 04,645,974 | 05148714 | 05197133 | 05218040 | 06/343 805161/419
LA 06 04,553,961 | 04648794 | 04640622 | 04645318 | 06/349

KY 06 04,350,606 | 04467673 | 04472563 | 04477251 | 06/355
OR 05 03,848,605 | 04217737 | 04244625 | 04241507 | 05/360 774389/428
OK 05 03,764,883 | 03956971 | 03969523 | 03980783 | 05/365
CT 05 03,581,627 | 03565287 | 03560612 | 03557006 | 04/369 795370/422
IA 04 03,053,786 | 03155070 | 03159834 | 03163561 | 04/373

MS 04 02,978,240 | 02976149 | 02972496 | 02966786 | 04/377
AR 04 02,926,228 | 03017804 | 03023857 | 03030522 | 04/381
KS 04 02,863,814 | 02913314 | 02914780 | 02913805 | 03/392 841143/416
UT 04 02,770,765 | 03205958 | 03245264 | 03249879 | 04/385 726695
NV 04 02,709,432 | 03080156 | 03119767 | 03138259 | 04/389

NM 03 02,067,273 | 02096829 | 02099895 | 02106319 | 03/395 608041
WV 03 01,859,815 | 01792147 | 01783039 | 01784787 | 02/397
NE 03 01,831,825 | 01934408 | 01941004 | 01937552 | 02/399 791002/423
ID 02 01,573,499 | 01787065 | 01814462 | 01826913 | 02/401 745834--441
HI 02 01,366,861 | 01415872 | 01412331 | 01407006 | 02/403

ME 02 01,333,074 | 01344212 | 01348603 | 01350141 | 02/405
NH 02 01,321,445 | 01359711 | 01364396 | 01366275 | 02/407
RI 02 01,055,247 | 01059361 | 01060167 | 01057125 | 01/408 747500--440
MT 01 00,994,416 | 01068778 | 01074863 | 01080577 | 01/409 764083/431
DE 01 ??0897936? | 00973764 | 00979978 | 00986809 | 01/410 697779

SD 01 ??0814191? | 00884659 | -------- | 00892717 | 01/411
AK 01 ??0710249? | 00731545 | -------- | 00731158 | 01/412
ND 01 ??0672591? | 00762062 | -------- | 00765309 | 01/413
VT 01 ??0625745? | 00623989 | -------- | 00623347 | 01/414
WY 01 ??0563767? | 00578759 | -------- | 00582238 | 01/415

T 435 ?308156338 | 328239523 | ------ | 329484123 |

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Wednesday, April 28, 2021 3:55 AM

After a rudimentary perusal, I noticed some things.
Looking at only the 2019 estimate, and the 2020 Vintage estimate (still under Trump), and then the Obiden version of the 2020 Census, we see that in NY, the Vintage estimate for 1 April 2020 is fairly in line with the other data, showing only part of the mass exodus we've all heard about. But then after the 3-month Biden massage, an extra million people were crammed into NY all of a sudden for the official Census figures.
And in FL, the Vintage estimate shows the continued growth, in line with all of the estimates (plus common reports that every house has a bidding war). But then after the Biden massage they took away 200K FL residents.
This means that folk were fleeing FL last year (because of too much freedom, all businesses and schools were open, no Income Taxes) and invading NY (so they could be killed with Cuomo's Covid, and have the privledge of paying the highest taxes and the highest cost-of-living in the nation). I wonder how many New Yorkers can believe this nonsense. And also, now many Floridians can believe such baloney.

And in CA, the Vintage estimate is in line with the 2019 estimate, along with a touch of the exodus we've all heard so many stories about. But then after the Biden massage the state suddenly has a half million injection of population - just in time to be counted in the apportionment formulas (Commie-la was from CA, Pelosi is from CA, McCarthy is from CA).
And in TX, we see that the Vintage estimate and all of their estimates are in line with the growth of that state.
But then after the Biden massage, 200K are deleted from the population totals.
This means that folk are evacuating Texas so they can invade California. Which is the exact opposite of what every national moving company has been reporting! They need to charge the highest premium rates for moving trucks from CA to TX due to high demand, but they cannot get anybody to take the trucks back to CA from TX. I wonder how many folks from CA can believe this story. Texas is pretty large, the 2nd largest state, so they might believe that they have not been deluged by Californians.

This is beyond hilarious. These Biden census Libtards must have been laughing their asses off while concocting this ridiculous numbers story.



I will make some details more clear when I have time.
To do so, I have copied the base table from another post, makes it easier to editing.


Census 2010 pop (from my 2 Feb 2020 post),
2019 est pop (from census)
my projected 2020 pop (from my 14 Jan 2020 post - before covid, Lockdowns, exodus from CA, NY),
2020 Vintage est pop (released Dec 2020),
Percent difference between 2019 estimate and 2020 Vintage estimate.
Lord Darth Obiden's massaged pop data (released today)
Percent different between 2020 Vintage estimate and Biden's massaged numbers.
Difference between the 2 percentages.



The first column is the population from 2010 based upon the published priority numbers actually used in the 2010 Apportionment list.

ST 2010 Census 2019 est Proj2020 2020Vint 19-Vin | 2020Cens Vin-Cens Diff
CA 53 37341990 39512223 39550199 39368078 -0.36% | 39576757 +0.53% +0.89%
TX 36 25268418 28995881 29271292 29360759 +1.26% | 29183290 -0.60% -1.86%
NY 27 19421055 19453561 19397469 19336776 -0.60% | 20215751 +4.55% +5.15%
FL 27 18900773 21477737 21652802 21733312 +1.19% | 21570527 -0.75% -1.94%
IL 18 12864380 12671821 12633384 12587530 -0.67% | 12822739 +1.87% +2.54%

PA 18 12734905 12801989 12802789 12783254 -0.15% | 13011844 +1.79% +1.94%
OH 16 11568495 11689100 11698669 11693217 +0.04% | 11808848 +0.99% +0.95%
MI 14 09911626 09986857 09988946 09966555 -0.20% | 10084442 +1.18% +1.38%
GA 14 09727566 10617423 10697142 10710017 +0.87% | 10725274 +0.14% -0.73%
NC 13 09565782 10488084 10567936 10600823 +1.07% | 10453948 -1.39% -2.46%

NJ 12 08807501 08882190 08879314 08882371 +0.00% | 09294493 +4.64% +4.64%
VA 11 08037737 08535519 08561194 08590563 +0.64% | 08654542 +0.74% +1.38%

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Wednesday, April 28, 2021 5:38 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Also, last week HR51 was passed in the House, the D.C. Statehood bill.

If D.C. becomes a State, then it would lose it's 3 Electoral Votes as defined in The Constitution. Those would be replaced by 1 Electoral Vote, as Apportioned according to The Constitution.
If this new Statehood was in time for the new Apportionment - which it will not, then the 2 other seats would be apportioned, at this point, to TX and FL (absent further massaging.) So the House would lose 1 Dem seat edge (adding 1 Dem Seat, and 2 GOP Seats.)

lol

How much you want to bet they don't go ahead with this decision once somebody explains this to the horseface bartender?

My post was factually incomplete, so I just edited it.

You don't think Libtards have already paid for somebody to Math this for them?



Of course not.

Just like the talking heads at the "news" agencies, they can't shut the fuck up and just talk all day, every day without knowing any facts.

Math is beyond any of them. They would outright reject it if they understood it because they reject the truth.

--------------------------------------------------

Imagine the hypocrisy of a government who will allow businesses to card people to get a job or buy groceries, but won't card people to vote in elections and gives millions of non-citizens free money from taxpayers.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Saturday, May 1, 2021 3:17 AM

My projections, posted 14 Jan 2020:

Quote:

So if population trends from 2018-2019 continue into 2020, and the Census results in the above predictions, then NC, AZ, CO, OR, MT will gain a seat, FL will gain 2 seats, and TX will gain 3 seats.
CA, NY, IL, PA, OH, MI, MN, AL, WV, RI will lose a seat.

The final seats to make the cut are IL, NY, TX, MT, FL. Those missing the cut are AL, MN, OH, CA.




The results of the Biden massaged census figures, posted 26 April:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Well golly, isn't it just amazing that, of the last 15 seats to get crammed into the apportionment before cutoff, 11 are somehow from Libtard hellholes, and every one of those 11 (except OR) managed to have their population count stuffed during the Biden numbers massage. That is just amazing.

IN - 09 - 800242 423
NY - 26 - 792927
SC - 07 - 790760 424 (reduced)
PA - 17 - 788958 (stuffed)
FL - 28 - 784512 425 (reduced)
CA - 51 - 783736
TX - 38 - 778290 426 (reduced)
IL - 17 - 777492 427 (stuffed)
RI - 02 - 776518 428 (stuffed)
AL - 07 - 776154 429
NC - 14 - 774898 430 (reduced)
OR - 06 - 774388 431 (non-anomalous)
CO - 08 - 772675 432
CA - 52 - 768516 433 (stuffed)
MT - 02 - 767498 434
MN - 08 - 762997 435 (bumped)


NY - 27 - 762994 436
OH - 16 - 762257 437
TX - 39 - 758071 438 (reduced)
FL - 29 - 756977 439 (reduced)
AZ - 10 - 754616 440 (reduced)
ID - 03 - 751739 441

And looky there, of the next 5 Seats which somehow missed the cutoff, 3 of them were red states which mysteriously had their population counts reduced during the Biden numbers massage. That is just amazing.

Must be just a coincidence - or else one of them "anomalies" that Census said they needed to create.






The calculations based upon the Vintage 2020 estimate (from the Census Bureau), posted 27 April:
Quote:

So if the Apportionment was done according to the Vintage estimate for 1 April 2020:
CA, IL, PA, OH, MI, MN, WV, RI would lose 1 seat.
NY would lose 2 seats.
NC, AZ, CO, OR, MT would gain 1 seat.
FL would gain 2 seats.
TX would gain 3 seats.

So the result of Biden's 3-month massage of the numbers:
MN, RI, NY lose 1 less seat. All States overrun by Libtards.
TX, FL, AZ fail to gain another seat. All states not considered to be overrun by Libtards.
Amazing coincidence.
6 Electoral Vote swing.

They must think all Americans are as gullible as the newsreaders.




I completed the tables above a few days ago.

It seems clear that once the Anti-Constitutionalists stole the Election, they just decided to steal the Census as well.

Also looks like my projections were confirmed by the Census themselves, although I didn't know they would release that Vintage estimate in lieu of the actual Census in December.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Tuesday, May 4, 2021 5:53 AM

I finished this table some days ago, but I should sort it by the value of that last column number.



After a rudimentary perusal, I noticed some things.
Looking at only the 2019 estimate, and the 2020 Vintage estimate (still under Trump), and then the Obiden version of the 2020 Census, we see that in NY, the Vintage estimate for 1 April 2020 is fairly in line with the other data, showing only part of the mass exodus we've all heard about. But then after the 3-month Biden massage, an extra million people were crammed into NY all of a sudden for the official Census figures.
And in FL, the Vintage estimate shows the continued growth, in line with all of the estimates (plus common reports that every house has a bidding war). But then after the Biden massage they took away 200K FL residents.
This means that folk were fleeing FL last year (because of too much freedom, all businesses and schools were open, no Income Taxes) and invading NY (so they could be killed with Cuomo's Covid, and have the privledge of paying the highest taxes and the highest cost-of-living in the nation). I wonder how many New Yorkers can believe this nonsense. And also, now many Floridians can believe such baloney.

And in CA, the Vintage estimate is in line with the 2019 estimate, along with a touch of the exodus we've all heard so many stories about. But then after the Biden massage the state suddenly has a half million injection of population - just in time to be counted in the apportionment formulas (Commie-la was from CA, Pelosi is from CA, McCarthy is from CA).
And in TX, we see that the Vintage estimate and all of their estimates are in line with the growth of that state.
But then after the Biden massage, 200K are deleted from the population totals.
This means that folk are evacuating Texas so they can invade California. Which is the exact opposite of what every national moving company has been reporting! They need to charge the highest premium rates for moving trucks from CA to TX due to high demand, but they cannot get anybody to take the trucks back to CA from TX. I wonder how many folks from CA can believe this story. Texas is pretty large, the 2nd largest state, so they might believe that they have not been deluged by Californians.

This is beyond hilarious. These Biden census Libtards must have been laughing their asses off while concocting this ridiculous numbers story.



I will make some details more clear when I have time.
To do so, I have copied the base table from another post, makes it easier to editing.


Census 2010 pop (from my 2 Feb 2020 post),
2019 est pop (from census)
my projected 2020 pop (from my 14 Jan 2020 post - before covid, Lockdowns, exodus from CA, NY),
2020 Vintage est pop (released Dec 2020),
Percent difference between 2019 estimate and 2020 Vintage estimate.
Lord Darth Obiden's massaged pop data (released today)
Percent different between 2020 Vintage estimate and Biden's massaged numbers.
Difference between the 2 percentages.



The first column is the population from 2010 based upon the published priority numbers actually used in the 2010 Apportionment list.

ST 2010 Census 2019 est Proj2020 2020Vint 19-Vin | 2020Cens Vin-Cens Diff

NY*27 19421055 19453561 19397469 19336776 -0.60% | 20215751 +4.55% +5.15%
NJ 12 08807501 08882190 08879314 08882371 +0.00% | 09294493 +4.64% +4.64%
HI 02 01366861 01415872 01412331 01407006 -0.63% | 01460137 +3.78% +4.41%
RI
*02 01055247 01059361 01060167 01057125 -0.21% | 01098163 +3.88% +4.09%
VT 01 ?0625745 00623989 -------- 00623347 -0.10% | 00643503 +3.23% +3.33%
IL
*18 12864380 12671821 12633384 12587530 -0.67% | 12822739 +1.87% +2.54%
MA 09 06569644 06892503 06899904 06893574 +0.02% | 07033469 +2.03% +2.01%
MD 08 05789929 06045680 06053089 06055802 +0.17% | 06185278 +2.14% +1.97%
PA
*18 12734905 1280

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Friday, August 27, 2021 2:17 AM

I have not been tracking how well the lawsuits are progressing, trying to un-fraud the elections.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Thursday, December 23, 2021 9:59 AM

I saw that this story has been spun by Libtard Fake News as being low growth without mention of migration.
But I saw this real story on The National Desk.


https://news.yahoo.com/red-states-texas-florida-growing-190202917.html
?fr=sycsrp_catchall


Quote:

D.C. topped the list with a decline of 2.9% of its population since the census was taken in April of last year, followed by New York with a 1.6% decline, Illinois with a 0.9% decline, and Hawaii and California that both saw a 0.7% decline.

Meanwhile, the states that saw the biggest increase in population growth were Republican-run states, starting with Idaho at a 2.9% increase, followed by Utah with 1.7%, Montana with 1.7%, Arizona with 1.4% and South Carolina with 1.2%.

The Republican-led states that caught the most heat politically for their COVID-19 policies, Florida and Texas, each saw a population growth of 1%.

In terms of numbers alone, the largest gains in domestic migration (the movement of people from one area of the U.S. to another) were in Florida with 220,890, followed by Texas and Arizona. The largest domestic migration losses were in California, which lost 367,299 residents, followed by New York and Illinois.

The South was the only region that had a positive net domestic migration of 657,682 between 2020 and 2021. The Northeast region lost the most people due to domestic migration at -389,638.


Former residents of large cities who recently moved to Florida told Fox News Digital on Wednesday that rising crime, taxes, and government overreach drove their decisions to move.

"The taxes I was paying in Cook County … were getting really insane. My property tax went up $1,000 in one year. And I realized that that trend was going to continue," said Paula Miller, a former Chicago-area resident, adding that she also feels "truly safe" in Florida because Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican, "is a law-and-order governor."

"Our plan was to reassess in the summer of 2022 where we wanted to go," former Chicago resident Lauren Callahan told Fox, "but with COVID and city life in general … we decided to come to Florida in November."

"It's an opportunity to live outside, as well as get some tax benefits," said former New Jersey resident Warren Cohn, who now lives in Miami. "And also, it's a state that has …various freedoms. … I think that the governor has done a good job here allowing people to decide what's comfortable or not for themselves."


Meanwhile, a spokesperson for California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s press office told Fox News last week that "the California exodus is a myth."

"California’s economy grew at a 4.7 percent annual rate in the past quarter-century compared with 4 percent U.S. growth, and more recently, California’s economy expanded at 3.9 percent annually in the last 5 years vs 2.9 percent annually," the spokesperson said.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME