What about North Korea?
POSTED BY: 1kiki
UPDATED: Sunday, January 14, 2024 16:12
VIEWED: 7928
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Quote:Any word on when was the tipping point, the point of no return, when we should have stopped NK from pursuing their nuclear program?
Originally posted by second:Quote:Vladimir Putin’s analysis of North Korea is very different from Trump’s or 6stringJoker's "analysis", but similar to what you hear from American experts.
Originally posted by 6stringJoker:
Well... yanno.... whatever.
Maybe he is crazy. Maybe he'll back himself in a corner and and fire a nuke anywhere there is people and doom himself and whatever the population of Korea is?
Maybe I have an aneurysm 5 minutes after writing this post and nobody finds my body for weeks?
Maybe, maybe, maybe, maybe, maybe.......
When Putin talked about the US-North Korea nuclear standoff in a press conference on Thursday night, his assessment of the situation matched far more closely with what you hear from US experts on North Korea than anything that the Trump administration has said.
Putin’s core point is that the central strategy of US policy under Trump, Obama, and Bush — attempting to pressure North Korea into giving up its nuclear program — has now conclusively failed. North Korea now believes that its nuclear arsenal is its best deterrent against an American invasion, and hence will not give it up no matter how much the United States tries to push them.
“They see nuclear weapons and weapons of mass destruction as the only way for them to protect themselves,” the Russian president said during the Thursday presser, held at an economic forum in Vladivostok, Russia.
That isn’t the Trump administration’s view. Just this week, UN Ambassador Nikki Haley called for “the strongest sanctions” to pressure North Korea into giving up nukes “before it's too late.” Yet the consensus position among America’s North Korea experts is that it is, in fact, too late: that nothing the US can do to Kim Jong Un could offset the deterrent value of his nuclear weapons.
“There is very little chance that we are ever going to talk this guy out of his weapons, and none of us who have been watching the situation closely for years really thought we were going to,” as Mira Rapp-Hooper, a scholar at Yale Law School who studies North Korea, put when I spoke to her this week.
Putin also noted that harsh American rhetoric — like Trump’s promise to respond to inflict “fire and fury like the world has never seen” on the North — serves only to escalate the situation. “It’s counterproductive to inflate this military hysteria. This leads nowhere,” he said.
This, once again, dovetails with what American experts told me in interviews. They believe that threats tend to inflame the North’s fears of invasion, causing them to respond with provocations and further development of their nuclear program.
“They’re responding to our threats, it’s tit-for-tat,” Dave Kang, the director of the Korean Studies Institute at the University of Southern California, says. “Our policies are designed precisely to provoke the outcome we’re trying to avoid.”
Finally, Putin argued that the best way to handle the nuclear crisis going forward is through negotiations — for the US and North Korea to develop better lines of communication in order to avoid a crisis escalating into a war that no one wants.
“All the competing sides have enough common sense and understanding of their responsibility. We can solve this problem through diplomatic means,” the Russian president said.
If you guessed that this is what most North Korea experts believe, then congratulations, you’ve got the pattern.
The United States has backed itself into a pretty obvious corner. The aim of denuclearizing North Korea is out of reach, which is tough to admit when America has spent decades warning of the consequences of Pyongyang’s program. Conceding defeat is very hard for anyone, and especially hard for people making policy for the world’s most powerful country.
www.vox.com/world/2017/9/8/16276122/north-korea-putin-trump-comments
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Quote:The tipping point was back when China, India and Pakistan got their first A-bombs, but the U.S.A. didn't do a damn thing. N Korea saw how the game was played: the U.S.A. has not the courage to do more than talk you to death. Or there was the example of Israel and its bomb: again, the U.S.A. did nothing. I see a trend!
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Any word on when was the tipping point, the point of no return, when we should have stopped NK from pursuing their nuclear program?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_with_nuclear_weapons
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Vladimir Putin’s analysis of North Korea is very different from Trump’s or 6stringJoker's "analysis", but similar to what you hear from American experts.
What's my analysis other than "don't give a shit"?
Whether there is or isn't a problem there isn't anybody in this country less equipped to do anything about it and over 300 million Americans who aren't any better equipped to do anything about it than I am.
Have fun worrying about it. I won't be.
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Quote:You just washed your hands of all responsibilities for everything, not just N Korea or voting for Trump, haven't you? Must be nice being the human equivalent of zero and yet you're alive, conscious and a sort of capable adult. Have you achieved Buddhist enlightenment and purified yourself of all attachments to Earth?
Originally posted by 6stringJoker:Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Vladimir Putin’s analysis of North Korea is very different from Trump’s or 6stringJoker's "analysis", but similar to what you hear from American experts.
What's my analysis other than "don't give a shit"?
Whether there is or isn't a problem there isn't anybody in this country less equipped to do anything about it and over 300 million Americans who aren't any better equipped to do anything about it than I am.
Have fun worrying about it. I won't be.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:You just washed your hands of all responsibilities for everything, not just N Korea or voting for Trump, haven't you? Must be nice being the human equivalent of zero and yet you're alive, conscious and a sort of capable adult. Have you achieved Buddhist enlightenment and purified yourself of all attachments to Earth?
Originally posted by 6stringJoker:Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Vladimir Putin’s analysis of North Korea is very different from Trump’s or 6stringJoker's "analysis", but similar to what you hear from American experts.
What's my analysis other than "don't give a shit"?
Whether there is or isn't a problem there isn't anybody in this country less equipped to do anything about it and over 300 million Americans who aren't any better equipped to do anything about it than I am.
Have fun worrying about it. I won't be.
Something like that.
I voted for Trump in Indiana. I take responsibility for my vote and I don't hide that I did, but the truth is he won by so many in my state that I could have voted for Daffy Duck and we would have the exact same result. I'll never regret that I didn't' vote for Hillary.
I'm more than capable as an adult. So what that I haven't worked in a few years? I still have a 822 credit score, zero debt, a house and car that are paid for and I'm not on any benefits except for the insurance which is forced on me. I pay my taxes. I don't hurt other people.
I'm good. What have you and your white guilt accomplished today, trust fund baby?
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Quote:
China Warns Trump: "We Will Back North Korea If The US Strikes First"
Meanwhile, South Korean nuclear experts, checking for contamination, said on Friday they had found minute traces of radioactive xenon gas but that it was too early to link it to Sunday’s explosion. The Nuclear Safety and Security Commission (NSSC) said it had been conducting tests on land, air and water samples since shortly after the North Korean nuclear test on Sunday. There was no chance the xenon “will have an impact on South Korea’s territory or population”, the agency said.
What is more concerning, however, is a Friday report on NBC, according to which Trump is readying a package of diplomatic and military moves against North Korea, including cyberattacks and increased surveillance and intelligence operations, after the nation's sixth and largest nuclear test.
Trump's top national security advisers walked him through a range of options over lunch in the White House on Sunday, just hours after North Korea's latest test, officials said.
According to NBC, Trump is also seriously considering adopting diplomatically risky sanctions on Chinese banks doing business with Pyongyang and upgrading missile defense systems in the region, administration officials said. In addition, the administration is not ruling out moving tactical nuclear weapons to South Korea should Seoul request them, a White House official said, though many consider such a move a nonstarter. It would break with nearly three decades of U.S. policy of denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula.
U.S. officials have also made the case to China that if Beijing doesn't take stronger steps against North Korea, such as cutting off oil exports, South Korea and Japan are likely to pursue their own nuclear weapons programs and the U.S. won't stop them, the official said. "It's more a message for China than North Korea," the official said.
The U.S. has adopted sanctions aimed at Chinese entities that conduct business with North Korea, but has so far held back on broadly targeting China's banking system. China has told U.S. officials it would protest such a move diplomatically and retaliate, according to the senior administration official.
So what happened on Sunday? According to NBC, Trump's national security advisers presented him with U.S. military options, including pre-emptive strikes, and nuclear capabilities should America be called on to abide by its treaty obligations in the region, White House and defense officials said.
The president's advisers have made the case, however, that military strikes on North Korea could have serious repercussions, senior defense officials said, and the most glaring among these is that China has told administration officials that if the U.S. strikes North Korea first, Beijing would back Pyongyang, a senior military official told NBC.
This is not the first time China has warned the US not to escalate: on August 11, Beijing, through the state-owned media, cautioned the US president on Friday that it would intervene (militarily) on North Korea’s behalf if the US and South Korea launch a preemptive strike to “overthrow the North Korean regime,” according to a statement in the influential state-run newspaper Global Times.
"If the U.S. and South Korea carry out strikes and try to overthrow the North Korean regime and change the political pattern of the Korean Peninsula, China will prevent them from doing so," it said.
At the same time, the Chinese regime made it clear that its preferred outcome would be a continuation of the status quo, warning Kim Jong Un, or perhaps Trump, that it would "remain neutral if North Korea were to strike first."
As we said almost one month ago:
"not surprisingly, analysts have compared the standoff between the two nuclear powers (the North is a recent, if untested, member of this club) to a modern day Cuban Missile crisis. "This situation is beginning to develop into this generation's CubanNOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Quote:It was Slick Willie that gave it to Pakistan, right?
Originally posted by second:Quote:The tipping point was back when China, India and Pakistan got their first A-bombs, but the U.S.A. didn't do a damn thing. N Korea saw how the game was played: the U.S.A. has not the courage to do more than talk you to death. Or there was the example of Israel and its bomb: again, the U.S.A. did nothing. I see a trend!
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Any word on when was the tipping point, the point of no return, when we should have stopped NK from pursuing their nuclear program?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_with_nuclear_weapons
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:Well, they are reportedly targetting Guam, due to presence of U.S. Marines. But not to worry, because esteemed African-American genius Representative for Georgia Hank Johnson has already revealed that Guam will capsize due to the weight of the Marine presence. Yes, Sally, he is a Democrap.
Originally posted by 1kiki:
It's kind of a deal.
Does no one have an opinion?
https://www.cnsnews.com/blog/gage-cohen/n-korea-targets-guams-us-milit
ary-presence-which-congressman-warned-could-cause
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hank_Johnson
And the same Racist genius has revealed that JEWS are Termites (not the Galaxy Quest kind) who routinely STEAL land and property from everybody else. Sound like a Nazi to you? Yep, already pointed out he is a Democrap, so Nazi is a given.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/25/congressman-who-once-feared
-guam-could-capsize-compares-jewish-settlers-to-termites.html
RapKnight: is this clown your Rep to Congress?
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As I understand it so far:
North Korea began to test nuclear weapons. Continues to do so.
The neighbors, in general don't like it: S. Korea, Japan, Guam.
China's an NK ally, so maybe OK with the testing.
The USA objects. Kim Jong Un is offended. Our war planes are flying
around over there, close to NK but not invading. Kim, unless he is
an idiot, knows we can wipe him out. But he must save face, so he
demands we back off & he threatens war.
Simple answer. Put our planes back in their hangars & use diplomacy
to work things out. Trump can change direction easily; change his
mind & his opinion on the spur of the moment. He's not constrained
by consistency or logic. Using the Art of the Deal, he can say what
people want to hear and then go on to the next item that catches his
attention. He's unpredictable and very flexible that way.
Let Trump spend a little time & attention saving Puerto Rico while
the N Korea problem blows over. Cooler heads may prevail.
I've got a pal in Puerto Rico. Haven't heard from him since the 19th. :(
... oooOO}{OOooo ...
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Quote:Saddam Hussein gave up on atom bombs and America showed its sincere appreciation for his cooperation by hanging him. With no Iraqi A-bombs, America could do as it pleased to Saddam. Kim will not back down from making A-bombs because of America's history with Iraq. There will not be a diplomatic solution where Kim gives Trump what he demands because Trump is asking Kim to commit suicide for the entertainment of Republican voters. Trump would have as much success asking India and Pakistan to give up their A-bombs as he will with N Korea.
Originally posted by Oonjerah:
As I understand it so far:
North Korea began to test nuclear weapons. Continues to do so.
The neighbors, in general don't like it: S. Korea, Japan, Guam.
China's an NK ally, so maybe OK with the testing.
The USA objects. Kim Jong Un is offended. Our war planes are flying
around over there, close to NK but not invading. Kim, unless he is
an idiot, knows we can wipe him out. But he must save face, so he
demands we back off & he threatens war.
Simple answer. Put our planes back in their hangars & use diplomacy
to work things out. Trump can change direction easily; change his
mind & his opinion on the spur of the moment. He's not constrained
by consistency or logic. Using the Art of the Deal, he can say what
people want to hear and then go on to the next item that catches his
attention. He's unpredictable and very flexible that way.
Let Trump spend a little time & attention saving Puerto Rico while
the N Korea problem blows over. Cooler heads may prevail.
I've got a pal in Puerto Rico. Haven't heard from him since the 19th. :(
... oooOO}{OOooo ...
www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/gunning/etc/arsenal.html
At the end of the Gulf War, Saddam Hussein and his elite military units were still in power and in possession of huge stockpiles of deadly weapons. In April 1991, the U.N. Security Council created UNSCOM, a special commission to find and dismantle this arsenal. The U.N. imposed economic sanctions on Iraq that would be enforced until the country eliminated all nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons capability.
Two agencies were charged with the task. UNSCOM would uncover and destroy Iraq's biological- and chemical-weapons and ballistic-missile programs; the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) was charged with uncovering and dismantling Iraq's clandestine nuclear program.
From 1991 to 1998 UNSCOM and IAEA carried out numerous inspections in Iraq, but with varying degrees of success.
For the first few years, Iraqi officials failed to disclose much of their special weapons programs to the inspectors. In 1995, Saddam Hussein's son-in-law Kamel Hussein defected. He had been in charge of the bioweapons program and revealed to UNSCOM that there was a vast arsenal of weapons they had failed to uncover, including biological weapons, and described how the Iraqis were hiding them. This was a breakthrough for the inspection teams, and they continued their work until 1998, when Iraq blocked further access and expelled UNSCOM.
More at www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/gunning/etc/arsenal.html
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