Real World Event Discussions

The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 13 of 127

KPO
Friday, September 28, 2012 12:39 AM


Niki thinks that voter suppression "could--and maybe WILL--decide this election."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Wednesday, October 3, 2012 9:28 PM


Auraptor - "if the GOP wins ( and they will)..."

Jongstraw (ever pessimistic) - "Another generation or two and there will be no conservatives anymore in America. After Romney loses, there may not be any Republican Party anymore either."

Jongstraw - "I'm expecting this first debate to be won by Obama. The harsh reality for me is that Romney has big trouble thinking on his feet, as he's not very glib. He's also not a great campaigner, and I see no way he can defeat Obama."


ETA:


Cavetroll - "I can't wait to see the comedy when Smilin' Joe Biden gets away from his handlers. I expect Ryan to vigorously apply the crowbar of truth and logic to Biden's head. "


It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Friday, October 5, 2012 12:07 AM


Storymark - "This will, at best, give Romney a tiny bump in the national polls, that's about it."

Jongstraw (optimism??) - "Based on last night's drubbing of Obama I'm starting to think that Romney might actually have a longshot chance to beat him in November."

Jongstraw - "Just wait until the debate shifts to foreign policy. Imagine how Obama is going to squirm and hold his head down in shame and humiliation over his negligence and culpability for the deadly Libya terrorist attack, as well as the complete failure of his Middle East outreach to Muslims policies..."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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Friday, October 5, 2012 7:02 AM

Hey, you're documentation of my ongoing lack of confidence in Republicans is dangerous. Why me anyhow? Plenty of other Cons to quote from. Don't you realize that people know where I live! If I end up dying in a car explosion it will be your fault, and my operatives will have no choice but to seek revenge. And some of them are alternate universe Vulcans. But cerealously, you've been admirably honest in re-stating my quotes and opinions. Thanks.










Hmmm, better than Reuben's.
..One more.
Ben!
..My last one.
Okay.

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KPO
Friday, October 5, 2012 5:31 PM

Hey you're welcome JS, but I try to document every interesting prediction I find, and I try to do so faithfully. Thank you for sticking your neck out and making predictions so often.


CTS, in the 'Iran's currency plummets in value' thread - "We shouldn't gloat, cause our turn is next."


ETA:


Cavetroll reports on $16T of secret bailouts to foreign and US banks by the Fed, and asks "Can Weimar style inflation be far off?"

Cavetroll on the surprise drop in the unemployment rate a month before the election - "I'm sure in a month or so, quietly, on a Friday afternoon, the numbers will be adjusted to their actual point."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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Friday, October 5, 2012 6:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by DREAMTROVE:
Nick

Why would I listen to what they say? What they say has nothing to do with what they do, and it is no different from what their party spokesperson said last time. My party, the democratic party, has been running on a near identical platform revolving around the buzzwords of hope and change since it was introduced by FDR in 1932.



I'm a member of the party also. As such I would like to remind you where the door is and how to use it if you would like. See the party has been running on many of the same things for a long time. We will continue until those things are accomplished.

Quote:

Originally posted by DREAMTROVE:
What they say is what the party told them to say. That's designed to split the voters in half so the 1%ers running can clean up the support of the sheeple.



Yes, because member so both parties always toe the line...oh wait no they don't.

Quote:

Originally posted by DREAMTROVE:
What I care about is what they do. What Obama did in Illinois, what Romney did in Massachusetts, and now what Obama did in his first term. Not that it will make a huge amount of difference as no one could get in without being in the club, and being a 1%er, and president is nowhere near as powerful a position as people think it is.



Oh look it is the old "TPTB" cop-out argument. The President of the Unitied States is the most powerful position in the world, bar none. No, the President does not have unlimited or total power but of course that is why they often have to do the things they do. They have to work with Congress.


Quote:

Originally posted by DREAMTROVE:
What worries me more about these two people as individuals is actually outside of either box: It's what Obama did as a neo-malthusian, his vision of constitutional law, and his involvement in the chicago school, the last of which being the main reason I didn't vote for him last time, because I thought he would be an economic disaster. I think I was proven correct. However, my biggest personal worry for me with Romney is what he did at Bain capital which leads me to suspect he would be an even bigger economic disaster. That said, I can't vote for either one: One guy I support 5% and the other one 10% is not enough reason to choose one. It's sort of like choosing which bully should beat you up in the playground after school on the grounds that one of them once gave you his chocolate milk.



The economy tanked before Obama was in office, since than it has bottomed out and started to recover. So, no you where not proven correct in any way shape or form.

I do not fear God, I fear the ignorance of man.

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KPO
Thursday, October 11, 2012 2:21 AM


Jongstraw on Benghazi-gate:

Quote:

"When Susan Rice, Hillary Clinton, and Jay Carney all get their sorry lying butts hauled in there to testify under oath, this will be Obama's Watergate.

Yesterday I asked questions, today I'll answer them myself....

Is this going to matter at all on Election Day, when the public is so focused on the economy? .....Hard to say now
Will Susan Rice resign? .....Yes
Will Hillary Clinton resign? .....Never
Will The House panel get answers from anyone involved, or will it be another waste of time? .....Already getting startling answers
Will the CBS reporter get fired for her great investigative reporting on this because it hurts Obama?......No
Will this come up during the VP debate Thursday, and if so, what wll Biden say?.....I hope so. Biden will say as little as possible, or just continue the absurd lie that it was due to a you tube video
Will this come up during the 10/22 Presidential debate, and if so, what will Romney accuse Obama of?.....Yes, big time. I'm not sure how Romney will handle it.
How is Obama going to possibly get out of this mess?..... He's not. He can't. It's a potential game changer. "




It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Thursday, October 11, 2012 2:32 AM

On the upcoming VP debate:


kpo:

Quote:

Call me crazy but I don't think Biden will lose the VP debate - and might even edge it. Reasons why:

* The Obama campaign knows they have to fight back after the first debate
* The job of VP is not very demanding, so Biden will have had better preparation than Obama
* Biden will be willing to get down and dirty and go on the attack and counter-attack, without having to worry about 'appearing presidential'.
* Ryan will struggle to position himself as a centrist as Romney was able to do - he has no moderate history



Jongstraw:

Quote:

"I think Biden will win this debate. I say that because Ryan doesn't have nearly the same aura of likeability as Biden. Ryan's basically a slick numbers wonk, and his oratory is somewhat stilted. He starts in on financial stuff and everyone falls asleep. Biden's going to be fired up...




It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Friday, October 19, 2012 9:09 PM

Predictions on the second debate (better late than never):


kpo - "I think Obama will do better in this debate, and enough to halt Romney's momentum in the polls."

Kwicko - "I predict that no matter what happens, Republicans will claim that Romney won."

HK - "Mitt's momentum is already flagging, and it will continue. Romney will be off his game, the slightest hint of fear returning to in his eyes, because honestly he's terrified of losing. Obama will risk the "angry black man" thing for once. But overall he will be "Mr. Congeniality." Of course it will be ruled a Romney win by the ditto heads because it is simply impossible for Obama to be good at anything in their eyes. Obama win."

HK - "Also, much higher viewership than the first will further hurt Romney in the polls."

Auraptor (on Obama) - "He's all but vowed to be a dick to Romney, but it's an empty threat. Coming off aggressive, and rude, as Biden was to Ryan in the VP debate will backfire in a Town Hall like forum."

Auraptor - "Most likely outcome will be a draw, where either side will claim victory. If there's a repeat of the 1st debate, this race is over. Some ( like Neal Boortz ) go so far as to claim that, if Romney wipes the floor w/ Obama again, there won't even BE a 3rd debate."

Hero - "if Obama gets trounced again, it could be all over but the shouting."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Friday, October 19, 2012 9:20 PM

And some fallout:


Mal 4 - "When Obama fucked up the first debate, it gave the Romney-side hope and kept money flowing to the R-presidential ticket. It robbed support from the Congressional races for several critical days.

Now O is back, and the momentum will shift to where it was before the first debate: Romney near dead in the water. But now it's less useful for the superPACs to shift to the down-ticket races."

Mal4 - "Based on policies, I think that this election is a goner, and it's been gone for a while now. Romney is just so damned weak. Why the hell would a party run a 1%-er, when the 1%-ers are the prime scapegoats of the day? Stupid. Just really stupid."

Niki - "I think Romney is on his way to being toast."

Hero - "The biggest weathervane of who won came from the focus groups of undecided voters. In every case those voters shifted dramatically towards Romney. In fact the shift was as pronounced as what occurred in the first debate."

Hero - "I note for the record that Obama is polling in the 45-47% range, yet only 39% thought he won the debate. This does not make for a winning night."

Jongstraw - "Perhaps Axelrod and Plough have taken Obama down a losing path, a road to ruin. Who knows."






It's not personal. It's just war.

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