Iran only months away from having atomic bomb.
POSTED BY: AURaptor
UPDATED: Monday, August 31, 2026 06:03
VIEWED: 8730
PAGE 3 of 8
But to take SergeantX's analysis a bit further, sooner or later pretty much everyone will have access to at least a few nuclear bombs. Though, compared to the Russian and US arsenals it will not be MAD, it will be unilaterally assured destruction. Geeting blown to nuclear dust is a high price to pay for tweaking the giant's nose.
Nearly everything I know I learned by the grace of others.
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Quote:
Originally posted by rue:
Or do you think that they would threaten SA or Israel if they were attacked?
If the US were to invade Iran, I don't think the Iranian government would be awfully unhappy if, oh I don't know, somehow a nuclear weapon heading towards Israel were to be launched.
BTW, nice analysis dreamtrove.
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And then Israel would have a good reason to launch several of their nuclear warheads at Iran.
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Please don't think they give a shit.
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Hmm... Anyone recall B. Liar's "45 minutes" that transpired to be quite a lot longer, what with said threat not actually exising as such?
If you use a similar time dilation factor, "months" should translate into, say 500 years, which is coincidental in an "Earth that was" way.
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Okay, I didn't really understand what Gixxer said, I think it was in code, B. Liar must have been blair, clever, bliar, but what video and huh? We don't get the close up focus on tony in the states. Enlighten us.
But to the rest of you. Thanks. I think that The think about a nuke is maybe you can respond or maybe you can't, re: israel, but you're leaving out a lot of other targets.
The US operates out of bases, mostly in the former soviet union, a lot of countries that don't want to be in a nuclear war. If those countries think getting a nuke hurled at them is a possibility, they will duck out and kick us out. If they don't, those nukes will be aimed at the bases, and will get our forces. 14 well placed nukes could take out the US forces in the middle east.
So, how's that anti-missile system coming along. I remember the whole SCUD-interception plan in the Gulf War I. For all the hype, there was only one (1) intercept of a patriot with a scud that occured. 146 scuds hit israel unhindered, and fifty some patriots also hit israel after botched launched. We really don't have any way to stop a missile. If Iran proved they coudl attack us with nukes, it would give us pause. They know that. Also, like me, they can't think of anything else that would give us pause.
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You're not missing anything. Just the general appallingness of Blair's government. Nobody trusts them or believes a word they say. They swept to power in 1997 as an antidote to previous sleazy government, and seemed like a breath of fresh air. I'm still kicking myself for voting for them. Now, think of how popular George Bush is, and half it.
My recollection is a bit wooly, but the Iraq expedition was given added urgency by a phrase something like "...ready to unleash Weapons of Mass Destruction within 45 minutes..." which turned out to be less than entirely accurate.
Also I don't know if you got the story about The Dossier. This was a big authoritative intelligence report explaining why it was a good idea. Except that a lot of it was lifted (Ctrl-C, Ctrl-V) from a ten year old student's thesis.
Er...that's written ten years before, not a junior... (Sorry, but it would be rude to pass up on a gag like that).
Look in Google with Dossier and Iraq, and you can still read the thing in its full dull glory.
I won't give you a direct link in case MI5 put a cap in my ass.
The name comes from general journalistic useage. If the article is at all critical, it's pretty universal practice for him to be referred to as Tony B. Liar.
F
(Cunning disguise, eh?) As good as Jayn'e hat and goggles.
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DT- You've obviously put a lot more thought into this than I have! Yes, the nukes could take out our bases in the Mideast. That would be do-able for a medium-range missile, I think.
This is Iraq redux. Iraq only had short-range missiles and no WMD. But folks just "clutched" over the fact that Iraq had ANY military capability. They made the emotional leap that if Iraq posed a threat to its neighbors then it posed a threat to "us". Basically, we view the Mideast as ours. ("MINE, MINE. ALL MINE!!!")
I wonder if people will be stampeded again. Iran has neither WMD nor long-range capability. It will not pose a direct threat to the USA for the forseeable future. The only reason why they pose a threat to our troops is because we put our troops in harm's way. And the only reason why our troops are in harm's way is because of oil. W/o oil, the Mideast would be an uninteresting sandy patch on the globe. And we can probably do w/o much of the Mideast oil through intelligent conservation.
One of the things I find curious is that the same people who support gun ownership (In the ideal society EVERYONE carries a gun and knows how to use it!) suddenly ditch that approach when it somes to nations. Seems to me that a nation surrounded by other nations that have nuclear weapons and credibly threatened by the world's only superpower really might want a few nukes of their own, just in case. I find it understandable as a defensive posture.
Of course, likely we will not allow any nation in the Mideast even a credible defense.
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Please don't think they give a shit.
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Wow! The idea of a country full of terrifyingly stupid sand monkeys possessing nuclear weapons kinda scares the crap out of ya when ya stop to think about it. Maybe we should try Dubya's preemptive policy out on Iran and just nuke them into oblivion? It'd be a shame though. They produce the world's best caviar and most of the worlds crop of pistacios.
Jaytee
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Why does a country of "sand monkeys" with one or two nuclear weapons terrify you? If anyone should be terrified of anybody, THEY should be terrifed of US. After all, we've invaded the ME several times in the past few decades, we have troops and bases all over bloody hell, and we not only have about 3000 nuclear warheads we also have the ICBMs to deliver them. Every nation should have a credible defense. When we panic over some other nation's potential military capacity- even when that capacity could only be used locally or regionally- then we're just a panicked 800-lb gorilla that doesn't realize its own strength.
Let's not be a panicked 800-lb gorilla, OK?
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wait, say-what? Iran says that we’re going to use the pretext of, “they are building a nuclear bomb,” to justify flattening their country, and to keep us from doing that they need to build a nuclear bomb.... because if they really have one we wouldn’t dare try and invade their country to try and stop them from using their nuclear bomb... because if we do they might have to use their nuclear bomb.
Who needs the CIA?
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