The predictions thread
POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 1 of 127
Here's an idea I've had, a bit of an experiment and something I've wanted to do for a while.
The point of this thread is to be a public record of people's predictions. You can post your own, or other people's that you've read and found interesting, so that we can all see in months and years to come who turned out to be accurate in their predictions, and who didn't. It's a chance to stick your neck out, or stick other people's out for them if you think their comments come out of a deluded partisan bubble.
I have one rule, and that is that people post their predictions in red font. The idea of this is that the predictions will stand out and be easy to find and read, and then all discussion can happen around them. Besides that one rule I'll just make a general plea to posters to be faithful when quoting other people, and to keep flame wars to a minimum.
How to post in red font
It's quite easy, post in red font by putting the code font color=red inside triangle brackets like this: . That goes before the text you want to be red. To turn off font color use this code: /font color inside triangle brackets, to return to ordinary font.
Here's a couple of predictions I've read recently and found interesting, to get the ball rolling (I'm paraprashing, from memory):
Auraptor: "The GOP will beat Obama by double digits in November."
Storymark: "Mitt Romney will be the GOP's John Kerry."
The floor is open to predictions, comments, suggestions, whatever.
It's not personal. It's just war.
NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Hello,
I predict that as the election approaches, the opposition party will become more vehement and offensive, while the incumbent party will become more stringent in their defense of a president who has done little to recommend him.
--Anthony
_______________________________________________
"In every war, the state enacts a tax of freedom upon the citizenry. The unspoken promise is that the tax shall be revoked at war's end. Endless war holds no such promise. Hence, Eternal War is Eternal Slavery." --Admiral Robert J. Henner
NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Hmmm, interesting. Needs thought. Like - since the US is giving Israel the semi-official look-away (hey, you don't NEED US approval for EVERYthing you do) and Israel is making noises like they're going to go nuclear on Iran, I could see how an attack by Israel on Iran could come out of the blue and really blow a lot of predictions out of the water. Or if the SFP on reactor 4 falls over and tons of radiologically hot fuel come close together uncooled, I could see how having an open-air uncontrolled, uncontained reactor could alter the course of history. So, if weird unpredictable shit like this happens what does that mean for our ordinary-course-of-events predictions? Do they count as a swing and a miss, or a ball?
NOTIFY: N | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
You can come back and defend your predictions in such circumstances, if you see a need to. Though I think reasonable people will automatically see and understand when big events have changed the course of history, and screwed up people's predictions.
Here's another prediction I heard today:
George Soros predicts that if the Republicans win the white house in 2012 they will undergo a 'miraculous transformation' and decide the economy needs more stimulus.
It's not personal. It's just war.
NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
The Chinese lower class will try to revolt. I think this will be within the next ten or twenty years. I am not sure if this revolution will be successful, but I do think this will destabilize that country.
This may possibly be China reacting to an American war in Iran or possibly Syria or Pakistant, due to anger among the working class about forced conscription.
NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
I second AntonyT's political prediction:
I predict that as the election approaches, the opposition party will become more vehement and offensive, while the incumbent party will become more stringent in their defense of a president who has done little to recommend him.
I have more but I'm in the middle of cooking.
NOTIFY: N | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Is a lighter shade of red ok? Spot of humor ok?
I predict that Gingrich, Paul, Romney & Santorum will be in a virtual dead heat before the Convention. The Republican party will drop them and nominate Arnold Schwarzenegger, pushing him as the governor who almost saved the California economy.
Air Force One will crash killing Obama on the same day that Biden suffers a heart attack with stroke. The Democrats will run Hillary Clinton.
Knowing that the neocon Republicans got us into this mess, very likely on purpose, and will continue to grind us down, I will vote Democratic no matter what.
Arnold will win by a substantial margin.
God will intervene to give Arnold the gifts of wisdom & humility. Arnold will tell Him to keep it, saying, "I've got this. You don't understand American politics anyway."
God will agree to Arnold's wishes; and I am not sacreligious enough to put words into His mouth as the Heavens close.
"All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest" ~Paul Simon
NOTIFY: N | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Prediction: People will realize way too late that Egypt and Libya are notably worse off now than they were before the "Arab Spring". I'm not saying they were well off before, but they are worse off now and our media won't tell us that so most Americans don't know and won't until it gets much worse.
:(
"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya
NOTIFY: N | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Here's a couple of predictions I've read recently and found interesting, to get the ball rolling (I'm paraprashing, from memory):
Auraptor: "The GOP will beat Obama by double digits in November."
Storymark: "Mitt Romney will be the GOP's John Kerry."
Petty sure mine was more of a hope and wish, than a full out bet. If the world was as it should be, yeah, Obama would be sent packing by double digits, but we know different. A bit far out to be predicting a winner or the specifics of election results.
If could very well be that Mitt Romney is just the next moderate to lose. See Mccain. See Dole. I'm guessing Mitt didn't marry in to most of his money, like Kerry.
" I do not love the bright sword for its sharpness, nor the arrow for its swiftness, nor the warrior for his glory. I love only that which they defend. "
NOTIFY: N | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
No, Mitt didn't marry into money. He was born into it.
I'm not into predictions. The best I can do is that Obama will win a second term, and that based on the Republican primary contest. Other than that, the world changes too fast these days to predict anything, in my opinion.
NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME